BOU · DEF · FPL 2026/27

Adam Smith — Defender, Bournemouth

Adam Smith costs £4.5m in FPL 2026/27, is a defender for Bournemouth, and the Onside model projects 15+ points across Smith's next 6 fixtures. Owned by 0.1% of managers. Next fixture GW8: at MUN — projected 2.1 xP.

Price

£4.5m

Total pts

Form

3.0

Owned

0.1%

GW8 · at MUN

BOU

Smith

Projected points

2.1 xP

£4.5m · 0.1% owned

Available

QUICK ANSWER

Is Smith worth picking in FPL 2026/27?

Smith is a defender for Bournemouth, priced at £4.5m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27, and Onside projects 15+ points over his next 6 gameweeks. Onside gives Smith a 96% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. Full verdict, ownership, fixture run and set-piece role below, updated live from the official FPL data.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESmith 96% to start · Gameweek 8

BUILD YOUR FPL SQUAD FREE →Updated moments ago

Season Summary

Smith scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists with 1 clean sheet for Bournemouth in the 2026/27 season so far. Priced at £4.5m, Smith has accumulated 10 total FPL points this season. Over the last 5 gameweeks, Smith has averaged 1.6 points per game (form: 3.0). GW8: @ MUN (difficulty 4/5, 2.1 projected xP). Across the next 6 fixtures, Onside projects 15.5 total xP.

Premier League Stats

Defender · Season 26/27

Live

On the Pitch

7Starts · Starts

595Mins · Minutes

0Goals · Goals

0Assists · Assists

1Clean Sheets · Clean Sheets

Expected Stats

0.55xG · Expected Goals

0.43xA · Expected Assists

0.98xGI · Exp. Goal Involvement

Next gameweek prediction

GW 8

Differential

2.1xP next match

2.1 xP at 0% ownership — top 24% of the game, and few rivals have him.

vs (A)

MUN

Diff4

Sun 25 Oct, 14:00

Next 6 GWs total15.5 xP

Start probability · Onside model

Onside gives Smith a 96% chance of starting Gameweek 8.

96%

NAILED

Based on 7 gameweeks of 2026/27 team-sheet evidence. Model confidence 88%. This is the probability he is in the starting XI, not the probability he plays — a substitute appearance is not a start.

The 100-gameweek array

Smith returns in 2 of 100 gameweeks at this projection (2%)

Each square is a gameweek at the engine’s current projection for Smith. Acid squares are the weeks he returns — a goal, an assist, a clean-sheet-level score. The grey ones are the blanks nobody puts in the highlight reel.

The shape, not just the number: a high projection with many grey squares is a different bet from the same projection concentrated in acid.

ENGINE V2 · GW8 · AS OF 21 OCT · ONSIDEARENA.COM

Next six — difficulty ramp

GW8

MUN (A)

GW9

LEE (H)

GW10

IPS (A)

GW11

NFO (H)

GW12

FUL (A)

GW13

BHA (H)

6-GW outlook

Projected xP

Last 10 GWs

Points trend

Smith match-by-match Fantasy Premier League record 2026/27 — gameweek, opponent, minutes, goals and assists, points
GW	Opp	Min	G/A	Pts
7	SUN (H)	90'	0/0	6
6	CHE (A)	71'	0/0	0
5	LIV (H)	74'	0/0	2
4	BRE (H)	90'	0/0	0
3	NEW (A)	90'	0/0	0
2	EVE (H)	90'	0/0	1

How accurate have our Smith projections been?

Every projection below was published on this site before the deadline it applies to, and is shown next to what Smith actually scored. Across 7 graded gameweeks in which he played 60 minutes or more, Onside has been out by an average of 1.8 points and the official FPL projection by 1.4 — further out than FPL, on this player.

Onside projected points vs the official FPL projection vs actual score — Smith, Fantasy Premier League 2026/27
GW	Onside	FPL	Actual	Mins	Closer
GW1	1.9	1.7	1	90	FPL
GW2	2.6	1.7	1	90	FPL
GW3	1.8	0.5	0	90	FPL
GW4	2.5	0.7	0	90	FPL
GW5	3.0	0.5	2	74	Onside
GW6	2.4	0.4	0	71	FPL
GW7	3.4	0.7	6	90	Onside

Rows under 60 minutes are shown but excluded from the averages, the same scope guard the site-wide graded record uses. The full dataset for every player is published as CSV under CC BY 4.0. Last graded 20 October 2026.

Season stats vs defenders

Percentile rank

Attack

Goals G
0
0
Assists A
0
0
Expected goals xG
85
0.55
Expected assists xA
79
0.43
Expected GI xGI
85
0.98

Defence

Clean sheets CS
46
1

Underlying

Minutes MIN
80
595
Starts STA
76
7
Bonus pts BPS
0
0
BPS total BPS·
39
26

Creativity / ICT

Threat THR
37
10
Creativity CRE
87
83
Influence INF
52
72
ICT index ICT
60
16.4

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Smith start in Gameweek 8?

Onside gives Smith a 96% chance of starting Gameweek 8, from 7 gameweeks of 26/27 team-sheet evidence. That is the probability he is named in the starting XI, not the probability he features — a substitute appearance is not a start.

Is Smith worth captaining in GW8?

According to Onside's AI engine, Smith is a differential captain option (low-ownership) for GW8 with 2.1 projected points. 2.1 xP at 0% ownership — top 24% of the game, and few rivals have him.

How many goals has Smith scored this season in FPL?

Smith has scored 0 goals and provided 0 assists for Bournemouth in the 2026/27 FPL season so far, totalling 10 points.

Is Smith fit to play?

Smith is currently listed as fully available in FPL with no injury concerns recorded. Onside tracks status updates hourly — check back before each deadline.

Does Smith take set pieces for Bournemouth?

Smith is not currently listed as a regular set-piece taker for Bournemouth in Onside's curated data. This can change during the season — Onside updates set-piece roles weekly.

How much does Smith cost in FPL?

Smith currently costs £4.5m in Fantasy Premier League 2026/27. With 10 total points this season, that is 2.2 points per million — moderate value for the price.

What are Smith's projected points in FPL?

The Onside model projects 15.5 points for Smith across the next 6 gameweeks including 2.1 points in GW8 away at MUN. Projections refresh after every played match.

Is Smith worth it in FPL 26/27?

At £4.5m, the Onside model projects 15+ points for Smith over the next 6 gameweeks — weigh that projection against alternatives at the same price before committing. Projections update after every match, so check again near the deadline.

What does Smith's FPL fixture run look like?

Smith has a mixed fixture run over the next 6 gameweeks. Onside projects 15.5 total expected points across this period. Monitor week-by-week.