CHAMPION PROBABILITY · WC 2026 · UPDATED HOURLY

Can Cape Verde win the World Cup 2026?

ONSIDE AI · VERDICT

UNLIKELY — tournament far too open. Onside's 2,000-run Monte Carlo gives Cape Verde a 0.0% champion probability — ranked #41 of 48 nations. Cape Verde is a long-shot (FIFA #69, 0 Premier League players in the squad).

🇨🇻Cape VerdeGroup HFIFA #69CAF

Cape Verde's path to the final

REACH R16
1.5%
REACH QF
0.3%
REACH SF
0.0%
REACH FINAL
0.0%
CHAMPION
0.0%

Cape Verde's group fixtures

3 GROUP MATCHES · MODEL WIN PROBABILITY

Cape Verde vs the field

TOP CHAMPION-PROBABILITY RIVALS

In one line

Cape Verde is a long shot to win the 2026 World Cup — Onside's AI model gives them 0.0% champion probability, ranking them #41 of 48 nations. They play in Group H and have 0 Premier League players in their squad. Group-stage survival itself is uncertain (1.5% R16).

Full champion-probability board →Cape Verde team pageUpset watchlist →Build your own bracket →
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