FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 2

GW2 DIFFERENTIALS

the picks the field doesn't own

<15% OWNEDBUY / STRONG BUY ONLYDEADLINE Fri 28 Aug, 18:30 UK time

Top pick: Lukić (IPS) at just 0.1% ownership, projecting 3.8 xP.

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01

THE PICKS · BEST PROJECTION UNDER 15% OWNED

TOP DIFFERENTIAL
Saša Lukić
IPS · MID · £5.0m
3.8 xPMUST CAPTAIN0.97.4
0.1%
OWNED

Captain — IPS scored freely last season. 17% haul chance.

Bukayo Saka
ARS · MID · £9.5m
3.7 xPBUY1.08.0
9.2%
OWNED

Consider buying — ARS scored freely last season. Avg 3.7 pts, ceiling 8.

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
EVE · MID · £6.5m
3.7 xPBUY1.08.0
3.3%
OWNED

Consider buying — EVE scored freely last season. Avg 3.6 pts, ceiling 8.

Kevin Schade
BRE · MID · £6.0m
3.6 xPBUY0.07.0
3.5%
OWNED

Consider buying — BRE scored freely last season. Avg 3.5 pts, ceiling 7.

Jean-Philippe Mateta
CRY · FWD · £6.5m
3.6 xPBUY1.07.0
5.8%
OWNED

Consider buying — CRY scored freely last season. Avg 3.6 pts, ceiling 7.

02

THE TAG · ALL THREE MUST HOLD

<15%
OWNERSHIP
BUY+
ACTION RATING
xP ✓
UNDERLYING METRICS
03

PAIR WITH A RELIABLE ARMBAND

FULL CAPTAIN ANALYSIS →

GW2 DIFFERENTIALS · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW2?

Onside's top GW2 differential is Lukić (IPS, 0.1% owned, 3.8 projected xP). Captain — IPS scored freely last season. 17% haul chance. Other differentials: Saka (9.2% owned), Dewsbury-Hall (3.3% owned), Schade (3.5% owned).

What counts as a differential in FPL?

In FPL, a differential is a player owned by fewer than 10–15% of managers. Owning a differential who scores big gives a huge rank boost because the majority of managers miss the points. Onside's DIFFERENTIAL tag identifies players with ownership below 15% who also carry a BUY or STRONG_BUY action rating from the v5 engine — meaning the engine thinks they're genuinely undervalued, not just low-owned for bad reasons.

Is it worth taking a hit for a differential in GW2?

A -4 point transfer hit needs a minimum 4-point swing to break even. For a differential to justify a hit, the engine should project them at 8+ expected points (since the hit costs 4, you need 4 more than a bench player gives). Differentials are best transferred in for free on wildcards or when your squad has a glaring weakness — not as speculative hits. Check the GW2 full guide for the highest-confidence buy options.

When is the GW2 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW2 deadline is Fri 28 Aug, 18:30 UK time. Make sure your differential selections and transfers are confirmed before this time.

When to play a differential

Differentials are highest value when you're chasing rank mid-season or in mini-leagues with points gaps. A 15% owned player who scores or assists gives you a 6–9 point swing vs the field compared to a 50%+ template player hitting the same return. Use these picks when your template is strong — not to replace reliable assets, but to add upside beside them.

ONSIDE v5 · DIFFERENTIAL = <15% OWNED + BUY/STRONG BUY · MONTE CARLO k=2,000 · xP = MEDIAN OUTCOME · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY