FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 4

GW4 DIFFERENTIALS

the picks the field doesn't own

<15% OWNEDBUY / STRONG BUY ONLYDEADLINE Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 UK time

Top pick: Scott (BOU) at just 4.7% ownership, projecting 6.0 xP.

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What are the best FPL differentials for Gameweek 4?

The top low-owned pick for Gameweek 4 is Scott, owned by 4.7% of the game and projected 6.0 points. Tavernier (3.3%), Janelt (1.7%), White (7.6%) complete the shortlist. A differential here means under 15% ownership, ranked by expected points rather than by how few people own it.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEScott 4.7% owned · GW4
01

THE PICKS · BEST PROJECTION UNDER 15% OWNED

TOP DIFFERENTIAL
Alex Scott
BOU · MID · £6.0m
6.0 xPBUY2.811.2
4.7%
OWNED

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 6.0 pts, ceiling 11.

Marcus Tavernier
BOU · MID · £6.0m
5.9 xPBUY2.511.1
3.3%
OWNED

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 5.9 pts, ceiling 11.

Vitaly Janelt
BRE · MID · £5.0m
5.3 xPBUY1.68.2
1.7%
OWNED

Consider buying — BRE are scoring freely. Avg 5.3 pts, ceiling 8.

Benjamin White
ARS · DEF · £5.5m
4.7 xPBUY1.49.7
7.6%
OWNED

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 10.

Konstantinos Tzolakis
HUL · GKP · £4.6m
4.6 xPBUY2.49.4
9.4%
OWNED

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

02

THE TAG · ALL THREE MUST HOLD

<15%
OWNERSHIP
BUY+
ACTION RATING
xP ✓
UNDERLYING METRICS
03

PAIR WITH A RELIABLE ARMBAND

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GW4 DIFFERENTIALS · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW4?

Onside's top GW4 differential is Scott (BOU, 4.7% owned, 6.0 projected xP). Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 6.0 pts, ceiling 11. Other differentials: Tavernier (3.3% owned), Janelt (1.7% owned), White (7.6% owned).

What counts as a differential in FPL?

In FPL, a differential is a player owned by fewer than 10–15% of managers. Owning a differential who scores big gives a huge rank boost because the majority of managers miss the points. Onside's DIFFERENTIAL tag identifies players with ownership below 15% who also carry a BUY or STRONG_BUY action rating from the v5 engine — meaning the engine thinks they're genuinely undervalued, not just low-owned for bad reasons.

Is it worth taking a hit for a differential in GW4?

A -4 point transfer hit needs a minimum 4-point swing to break even. For a differential to justify a hit, the engine should project them at 8+ expected points (since the hit costs 4, you need 4 more than a bench player gives). Differentials are best transferred in for free on wildcards or when your squad has a glaring weakness — not as speculative hits. Check the GW4 full guide for the highest-confidence buy options.

When is the GW4 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW4 deadline is Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 UK time. Make sure your differential selections and transfers are confirmed before this time.

When to play a differential

Differentials are highest value when you're chasing rank mid-season or in mini-leagues with points gaps. A 15% owned player who scores or assists gives you a 6–9 point swing vs the field compared to a 50%+ template player hitting the same return. Use these picks when your template is strong — not to replace reliable assets, but to add upside beside them.

ONSIDE v5 · DIFFERENTIAL = <15% OWNED + BUY/STRONG BUY · MONTE CARLO k=2,000 · xP = MEDIAN OUTCOME · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY