FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 4

GW4 DIFFERENTIALS

the picks the field doesn't own

<15% OWNEDBUY / STRONG BUY ONLYDEADLINE

Top pick: Davis (IPS) at just 7.0% ownership, projecting 6.7 xP.

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What are the best FPL differentials for Gameweek 4?

The top low-owned pick for Gameweek 4 is Davis, owned by 7.0% of the game and projected 6.7 points. Belloumi (5.3%), Buendía (1.0%), Bassey (0.7%) complete the shortlist. A differential here means under 15% ownership, ranked by expected points rather than by how few people own it.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEDavis 7.0% owned · GW4
01

THE PICKS · BEST PROJECTION UNDER 15% OWNED

TOP DIFFERENTIAL
Leif Davis
IPS · DEF · £4.0m
6.7 xPBUY3.4–10.7
7.0%
OWNED

Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. xP 6.7.

Mohamed Belloumi
HUL · MID · £5.1m
6.6 xPBUY3.3–10.6
5.3%
OWNED

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. xP 6.6.

Emiliano Buendía Stati
AVL · MID · £5.9m
6.5 xPBUY3.3–10.4
1.0%
OWNED

Consider buying — AVL are scoring freely. xP 6.5.

Calvin Bassey
FUL · DEF · £4.5m
6.4 xPBUY3.2–10.2
0.7%
OWNED

Consider buying — FUL have a friendly run-in. xP 6.4.

Yasin Ayari
BHA · MID · £5.4m
6.3 xPBUY3.2–10.1
0.4%
OWNED

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. xP 6.3.

THE BOARD · ALL 5 COMPARED · OWNERSHIP, PRICE, PROJECTION
Onside differential board for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 4 — every pick under 15% ownership, with club, position, price, ownership, projected points and the projection range
#PlayerClubPosPriceOwnedxPRange
1DavisIPSDEF£4.0m7.0%6.73.4–10.7
2BelloumiHULMID£5.1m5.3%6.63.3–10.6
3BuendíaAVLMID£5.9m1.0%6.53.3–10.4
4BasseyFULDEF£4.5m0.7%6.43.2–10.2
5AyariBHAMID£5.4m0.4%6.33.2–10.1
02

THE TAG · ALL THREE MUST HOLD

<15%
OWNERSHIP
BUY+
ACTION RATING
xP ✓
UNDERLYING METRICS
03

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GW4 DIFFERENTIALS · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW4?

Onside's top GW4 differential is Davis (IPS, 7.0% owned, 6.7 projected xP). Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. xP 6.7. Other differentials: Belloumi (5.3% owned), Buendía (1.0% owned), Bassey (0.7% owned).

What counts as a differential in FPL?

In FPL, a differential is a player owned by fewer than 10–15% of managers. Owning a differential who scores big gives a huge rank boost because the majority of managers miss the points. Onside's DIFFERENTIAL tag identifies players with ownership below 15% who also carry a BUY or STRONG_BUY action rating from the v5 engine — meaning the engine thinks they're genuinely undervalued, not just low-owned for bad reasons.

Is it worth taking a hit for a differential in GW4?

A hit costs 4 points, so the player coming in has to outscore the one going out by more than 4 across the weeks you keep him — about 1 point a week over a month, or all 4 in a single week if you only hold him for one. Differentials are best brought in for free, on a wildcard or to fix a genuine hole in the squad, not as a speculative hit. Check the GW4 full guide for the highest-projected buys.

When is the GW4 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW4 deadline is Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 UK time. Make sure your differential selections and transfers are confirmed before this time.

When to play a differential

Differentials are highest value when you're chasing rank mid-season or in mini-leagues with points gaps. A 15% owned player who scores or assists gives you a 6–9 point swing vs the field compared to a 50%+ template player hitting the same return. Use these picks when your template is strong — not to replace reliable assets, but to add upside beside them.

ONSIDE v5 · DIFFERENTIAL = <15% OWNED + BUY/STRONG BUY · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY