FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 1

GW1 DIFFERENTIALS

the picks the field doesn't own

<15% OWNEDBUY / STRONG BUY ONLYDEADLINE

Top pick: Barnes (NEW) at just 5.9% ownership, projecting 6.9 xP.

Connect your FPL team

Get personalised captain, transfer & differential picks from your actual squad — not the template.

CONNECT MY TEAM →
QUICK ANSWER

What are the best FPL differentials for Gameweek 1?

The top low-owned pick for Gameweek 1 is Barnes, owned by 5.9% of the game and projected 6.9 points. Davis (7.0%), Belloumi (5.2%), Vuskovic (3.7%) complete the shortlist. A differential here means under 15% ownership, ranked by expected points rather than by how few people own it.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEBarnes 5.9% owned · GW1
01

THE PICKS · BEST PROJECTION UNDER 15% OWNED

TOP DIFFERENTIAL
Harvey Barnes
NEW · MID · £6.1m
6.9 xPBUY3.5–11.0
5.9%
OWNED

Consider buying — NEW have a friendly run-in. xP 6.9.

Leif Davis
IPS · DEF · £4.0m
6.7 xPBUY3.4–10.7
7.0%
OWNED

Consider buying — IPS have a friendly run-in. xP 6.7.

Mohamed Belloumi
HUL · MID · £5.1m
6.6 xPBUY3.3–10.6
5.2%
OWNED

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. xP 6.5.

Luka Vušković
BHA · DEF · £5.0m
6.5 xPBUY3.3–10.4
3.7%
OWNED

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. xP 6.5.

Emersonn Correia da Silva
IPS · FWD · £5.5m
5.3 xPBUY2.7–8.5
3.6%
OWNED

Consider buying — IPS have a friendly run-in. xP 5.3.

THE BOARD · ALL 5 COMPARED · OWNERSHIP, PRICE, PROJECTION
Onside differential board for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 1 — every pick under 15% ownership, with club, position, price, ownership, projected points and the projection range
#PlayerClubPosPriceOwnedxPRange
1BarnesNEWMID£6.1m5.9%6.93.5–11.0
2DavisIPSDEF£4.0m7.0%6.73.4–10.7
3BelloumiHULMID£5.1m5.2%6.63.3–10.6
4VuskovicBHADEF£5.0m3.7%6.53.3–10.4
5EmersonnIPSFWD£5.5m3.6%5.32.7–8.5
02

THE TAG · ALL THREE MUST HOLD

<15%
OWNERSHIP
BUY+
ACTION RATING
xP ✓
UNDERLYING METRICS
03

PAIR WITH A RELIABLE ARMBAND

FULL CAPTAIN ANALYSIS →

GW1 DIFFERENTIALS · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW1?

Onside's top GW1 differential is Barnes (NEW, 5.9% owned, 6.9 projected xP). Consider buying — NEW have a friendly run-in. xP 6.9. Other differentials: Davis (7.0% owned), Belloumi (5.2% owned), Vuskovic (3.7% owned).

What counts as a differential in FPL?

In FPL, a differential is a player owned by fewer than 10–15% of managers. Owning a differential who scores big gives a huge rank boost because the majority of managers miss the points. Onside's DIFFERENTIAL tag identifies players with ownership below 15% who also carry a BUY or STRONG_BUY action rating from the v5 engine — meaning the engine thinks they're genuinely undervalued, not just low-owned for bad reasons.

Is it worth taking a hit for a differential in GW1?

A hit costs 4 points, so the player coming in has to outscore the one going out by more than 4 across the weeks you keep him — about 1 point a week over a month, or all 4 in a single week if you only hold him for one. Differentials are best brought in for free, on a wildcard or to fix a genuine hole in the squad, not as a speculative hit. Check the GW1 full guide for the highest-projected buys.

When is the GW1 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW1 deadline is Fri 21 Aug, 18:30 UK time. Make sure your differential selections and transfers are confirmed before this time.

When to play a differential

Differentials are highest value when you're chasing rank mid-season or in mini-leagues with points gaps. A 15% owned player who scores or assists gives you a 6–9 point swing vs the field compared to a 50%+ template player hitting the same return. Use these picks when your template is strong — not to replace reliable assets, but to add upside beside them.

ONSIDE v5 · DIFFERENTIAL = <15% OWNED + BUY/STRONG BUY · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY