FPL 2026/27 · GAMEWEEK 1

THE GW1 CAPTAIN

who gets the armband — ranked by the model

DEADLINE Fri 21 Aug, 18:30 UK timeRANKED BY PROJECTED POINTSGRADED IN PUBLIC
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Who should I captain in FPL Gameweek 1?

Onside's top captain pick for Gameweek 1 is Groß, projected 7.3 points before the armband doubles it. The alternatives, in model order, are Barnes, Schade. Every pick is ranked by expected points over the GW1 fixtures, and the record is graded in public.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEGroß 7.3 xPts · GW1
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01

THE PICK · GW1

Pascal Groß
BHA
THE ARMBAND · #1
Groß
MID · £5.8m
GREATBALANCED · 29%
FLOOR 3.7xP 7.3CEIL 11.7
7.3
PROJECTED xP

Captain — BHA are scoring freely. xP 7.3.

11.7
CEILING
3.7
FLOOR
29%
OWNED
+0.4
EDGE v #2
Harvey Barnes
NEW · £6.1m · 5.7%
FLOOR 3.5xP 6.9CEIL 11.0
6.9
xP
Kevin Schade
BRE · £6.2m · 11.6%
FLOOR 3.4xP 6.8CEIL 10.9
6.8
xP
PROJECTED xP · THE FULL SHORTLIST · FIXTURE DIFFICULTY 1–5
Onside captain shortlist for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 1 — rank, player, fixture with difficulty rating, and projected points
RankPlayerFixture and difficultyProjected points, as a barProjected points
1Großv AVL 37.3
2Barnesv LIV 46.9
3Schadev TOT 26.8
4Belloumiv MUN 46.6
5Kostoulasv AVL 35.1
6Janeltv TOT 24.4
7Rogers@ FUL 34.4
8Buendía@ BHA 44.3
9Kamada@ EVE 34.2
10Kingv CHE 43.5
02THE CAPTAIN BRACKET · H2H

Percentages are ownership — the share of FPL managers who own each player, read from the live game. The xP ladder above ranks by expected points, so the most-owned player isn’t always the model’s #1.

03

THE RECORD · GRADED IN PUBLIC

EVERY TOP PICK IS SCORED AFTER THE GAMEWEEK — THE LEDGER STARTS WITH GW1.

GW1 CAPTAIN · COMMON QUESTIONS

Who should I captain in FPL GW1?

Onside's top captain pick for GW1 is Groß (BHA) with 7.3 projected xP. Captain — BHA are scoring freely. xP 7.3. Alternatives: Barnes, Schade, Belloumi, Kostoulas, Janelt, Rogers, Buendía, Kamada, King.

What is a differential captain option for GW1?

Barnes (5.7% owned, 6.9 xP) is a differential captain option for GW1 — owned by fewer managers than the consensus pick, offering a rank-up opportunity if they deliver. Consider buying — NEW have a friendly run-in. xP 6.9.

When is the GW1 FPL deadline?

The Fantasy Premier League GW1 deadline is Fri 21 Aug, 18:30 UK time. All transfers, captaincy choices, and chip activations must be confirmed before this time.

How does Onside pick the best FPL captain?

Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs a Monte Carlo simulation to rank captains by expected value — the median of each player's doubled-score distribution. The top pick maximises median captaincy return, not just peak upside. How the signals are built and weighted is proprietary.

Vice-captain tip

Always consider the vice-captain — if your captain blanks, your VC is the safety net. Pair a premium pick (e.g. a big-six midfielder in a home game) with a differential VC for maximum upside. The Onside engine scores both, so check the #2 and #3 picks as VC candidates.

RANKED BY ONSIDE v5 · EVERY PICK GRADED IN PUBLIC · FPL API · REFRESHED HOURLY