GW20 FPL Guide

Captain Picks · Transfer Targets · Differentials

Deadline: Tue 5 Jan, 18:00 UK time
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What should I do in FPL Gameweek 20?

For Gameweek 20, Onside's model captains Schade (4.5 projected points). The top transfer target is Gibbs-White. The best differential is Gibbs-White, 9.7% owned. Rankings come from expected points across the gameweek fixtures with a 2,000-run Monte Carlo, graded in public afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESchade 4.5 xPts · GW20

The Onside engine has processed 26 players — here are our top picks for GW20 based on projections, Monte Carlo simulations, and fixture difficulty analysis.

Captain Picks for GW20

Ranked by the engine's captain expected-value model — the #1 pick is our highest-confidence armband recommendation.

Top Pick
Kevin Schade
1
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0m4.2% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
8.04.5 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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Bukayo Saka
2
SakaARS · MID
£9.5m11.5% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.8 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.8 pts, ceiling 9.

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Morgan Gibbs-White
3
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9m9.7% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.4 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.4 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marcus Tavernier
4
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.0m4.1% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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Mohamed Belloumi
5
BelloumiHUL · MID
£5.0m1.7% ownedBUY
1.0
5.02.7 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 2.6 pts, ceiling 5.

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Morgan Rogers
6
RogersCHE · MID
£7.7m35.3% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.6 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.6 pts, ceiling 7.

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Emersonn Correia da Silva
7
EmersonnIPS · FWD
£5.5m1.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
8
João PedroCHE · FWD
£7.8m74.1% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.7 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 8.

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Alex Scott
9
ScottBOU · MID
£6.1m5.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.9 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 7.

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Bruno Borges Fernandes
10
B.FernandesMUN · MID
£12.0m42.8% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.2 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.

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Transfer Targets for GW20

Top STRONG BUY picks sorted by projected points — players our model rates most highly for this gameweek.

Top Pick
Morgan Gibbs-White
1
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9m9.7% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.4 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.4 pts, ceiling 9.

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Erling Haaland
2
HaalandMCI · FWD
£15.5m71.7% ownedBUY
3.0
8.05.2 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 8.

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Bruno Borges Fernandes
3
B.FernandesMUN · MID
£12.0m42.8% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.2 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.

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Bukayo Saka
4
SakaARS · MID
£9.5m11.5% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.8 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.8 pts, ceiling 9.

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João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
5
João PedroCHE · FWD
£7.8m74.1% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.7 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 8.

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Marcus Tavernier
6
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.0m4.1% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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Kevin Schade
7
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0m4.2% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
8.04.5 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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Thierno Barry
8
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.6m6.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Bryan Mbeumo
9
MbeumoMUN · MID
£7.9m23.6% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Martin Ødegaard
10
ØdegaardARS · MID
£6.7m18.6% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.3 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 7.

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Marc Guéhi
11
GuéhiMCI · DEF
£6.0m18.5% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.2 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 8.

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James Tarkowski
12
TarkowskiEVE · DEF
£6.0m11.9% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

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Alexander Isak
13
IsakLIV · FWD
£9.1m22.6% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.1 avg

Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 7.

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Konstantinos Tzolakis
14
TzolakisHUL · GKP
£4.6m10.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

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David Raya Martín
15
RayaARS · GKP
£6.0m39.3% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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Anton Stach
16
StachLEE · MID
£6.0m2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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Riccardo Calafiori
17
CalafioriARS · DEF
£5.8m49.5% ownedBUY
1.0
7.03.9 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 7.

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Alex Scott
18
ScottBOU · MID
£6.1m5.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.9 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 7.

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Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães
19
GabrielARS · DEF
£8.0m23.7% ownedBUY
1.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Cole Palmer
20
PalmerCHE · MID
£9.7m26.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.8 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Emersonn Correia da Silva
21
EmersonnIPS · FWD
£5.5m1.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Dominic Calvert-Lewin
22
Calvert-LewinLEE · FWD
£6.0m22.0% ownedBUY
1.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Dominik Szoboszlai
23
SzoboszlaiLIV · MID
£7.0m38.0% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Harvey Barnes
24
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.0m2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.8 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Differentials for GW20

Low-ownership picks our engine tags as DIFFERENTIAL — highly rated players most managers won't own, giving you a potential rank edge.

Top Pick
Morgan Gibbs-White
1
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9mOnly 9.7% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.4 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.4 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marcus Tavernier
2
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.0mOnly 4.1% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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Kevin Schade
3
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0mOnly 4.2% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
8.04.5 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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Thierno Barry
4
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.6mOnly 6.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Anton Stach
5
StachLEE · MID
£6.0mOnly 2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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GW20 Planning Checklist

Run through this before the GW20 deadline to maximise your expected points and avoid common mistakes.

  1. 1Confirm captain pick — choose your highest expected-points starter with a favourable fixture. See GW20 captain analysis →
  2. 2Check injuries before deadline — late team news can invalidate your captain and starting XI. View player availability →
  3. 3Review fixture difficulty — avoid players facing a Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) of 4–5 unless they have exceptional form. Check fixture difficulty →
  4. 4Monitor price changes — rising players gain value overnight; falling players lose it. Act before the price falls. Track price changes →
  5. 5Identify differentials — any highly-rated player below 10% ownership is a rank-up opportunity. Captaining a differential that delivers can jump you thousands of places. GW20 differentials →
  6. 6Check ownership data — know what the template squad looks like so you can decide where to be brave vs. where to follow the crowd. Most owned players →

Explore More on Onside Arena

GW20 — Common Questions

Answered by Onside AI engine

Who should I captain in GW20?

Onside's top captain pick for GW20 is Schade (BRE) with 4.5 projected points. Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance. Alternative: Saka.

What are the best transfer targets for GW20?

Onside's top GW20 transfer targets are: 1. Gibbs-White (£7.9m, 9.7% owned, 5.4 projected xP); 2. Haaland (£15.5m, 71.7% owned, 5.2 projected xP); 3. B.Fernandes (£12.0m, 42.8% owned, 5.2 projected xP). These are rated STRONG BUY by the v5 engine based on fixture difficulty, form, and Monte Carlo simulation.

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW20?

Top differential for GW20: Gibbs-White (only 9.7% owned, 5.4 projected xP). Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.4 pts, ceiling 9. A differential is a high-rated, low-ownership pick that gives a rank edge if they score big.

When is the GW20 FPL deadline?

The GW20 Fantasy Premier League deadline is Tue 5 Jan, 18:00 UK time. Make sure to finalise your transfers, captain pick, and vice-captain before this time.

How does Onside generate GW20 recommendations?

Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs Monte Carlo simulations to rank captains by expected value — the median of doubled-score distributions. Data refreshes every hour. How the signals are built is proprietary.

What happened in FPL GW20?

GW20 has not yet finished. Once all matches are complete, this section will show the average score, highest score, most captained player, and top scorer. Check back after the final GW20 fixture.

Who should I captain in FPL GW20?

Onside's top captain recommendation for GW20 is Schade (BRE), projected at 4.5 expected points. For a full captain deep-dive with fixture analysis, visit /captain/20.

What is a good FPL score in GW20?

A good FPL score varies by gameweek depending on how many matches are played and how many bonus points are distributed. As a rule of thumb, scoring 10+ points above the gameweek average puts you in a strong rank-gaining position. The average FPL score across all managers typically sits between 40–65 points per gameweek. For double gameweeks, average scores can reach 80–100+ points. Check the GW20 retrospective section above once the gameweek finishes for the official average and highest scores.

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Data sourced from Fantasy Premier League API. Verdicts computed by the Onside v5 stacking engine with Monte Carlo simulation (k=2000). Captain rankings derive from per-player captain expected-value (median of doubled-score distribution). Refresh every hour via ISR.