GW30 FPL Guide

Captain Picks · Transfer Targets · Differentials

Deadline: Sat 20 Mar, 13:30 UK time
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What should I do in FPL Gameweek 30?

For Gameweek 30, Onside's model captains Groß (4.5 projected points). The top transfer target is Haaland. The best differential is Tavernier, 6.8% owned. Rankings come from expected points across the gameweek fixtures, graded in public afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVEGroß 4.5 xPts · GW30

The Onside engine projects every player in the game each gameweek. These are the 29 it rates highest for GW30 — the captains, the transfer targets and the differentials, ranked by projected points.

Captain Picks for GW30

Ranked by the engine's captain expected-value model — the #1 pick is our highest-confidence armband recommendation.

Top Pick
Pascal Groß
1
GroßBHA · MID
£5.8m29.0% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
2.0
8.04.5 avg

Captain — BHA are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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Harvey Barnes
2
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.1m5.7% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.9 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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Kevin Schade
3
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.2m11.6% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.8 avg

Consider buying — BRE are scoring freely. Avg 4.8 pts, ceiling 9.

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Mohamed Belloumi
4
BelloumiHUL · MID
£5.1m5.2% ownedBUY
1.0
4.02.6 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 2.5 pts, ceiling 4.

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Marcus Tavernier
5
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.1m6.8% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.7 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 9.

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Erling Haaland
6
HaalandMCI · FWD
£15.6m73.8% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.3 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 5.3 pts, ceiling 9.

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Charalampos Kostoulas
7
KostoulasBHA · FWD
£5.6m4.2% ownedBUY
1.0
7.03.4 avg

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. Avg 3.4 pts, ceiling 7.

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Antoine Semenyo
8
SemenyoMCI · MID
£8.4m15.3% ownedBUY
0.0
7.03.1 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 3.1 pts, ceiling 7.

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Vitaly Janelt
9
JaneltBRE · MID
£5.0m2.5% ownedBUY
1.0
5.03.1 avg

Consider buying — BRE are scoring freely. Avg 3.1 pts, ceiling 5.

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Morgan Rogers
10
RogersCHE · MID
£7.7m40.5% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.6 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.6 pts, ceiling 7.

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Transfer Targets for GW30

Every player the model rates a buy for this gameweek, ranked by projected points — injured and doubtful players left out.

GW30 transfer targets by projected points
#PlayerClubPosPriceOwnedxPRangeRating
1HaalandMCIFWD£15.6m73.8%5.33.0–9.0BUY
2Gibbs-WhiteNFOMID£8.0m15.7%4.93.0–9.0BUY
3SchadeBREMID£6.2m11.6%4.82.0–9.0BUY
4SakaARSMID£9.5m13.7%4.72.0–9.0BUY
5TavernierBOUMID£6.1m6.8%4.72.0–9.0BUY
6BarryEVEFWD£5.7m8.3%4.62.0–9.0BUY
7GroßBHAMID£5.8m29.0%4.52.0–8.0MUST CAPTAIN
8TarkowskiEVEDEF£6.2m16.6%4.52.0–8.0BUY
9De CuyperBHADEF£5.0m27.8%4.41.0–8.0BUY
10GuéhiMCIDEF£6.0m18.2%4.41.0–7.0BUY
11João PedroCHEFWD£7.7m65.1%4.21.0–8.0BUY
12GvardiolMCIDEF£5.7m26.8%4.21.0–8.0BUY
13ØdegaardARSMID£6.8m19.8%4.02.0–7.0BUY
14TraffordLEEGKP£5.0m5.5%4.02.0–8.0BUY
15HallNEWDEF£5.3m17.3%4.02.0–7.0BUY
16ThiagoBREFWD£7.8m9.1%3.91.0–7.0BUY
17Calvert-LewinLEEFWD£6.0m24.8%3.92.0–7.0BUY
18B.FernandesMUNMID£11.9m38.5%3.92.0–8.0BUY
19BarnesNEWMID£6.1m5.7%3.92.0–8.0BUY
20RayaARSGKP£6.1m42.3%3.81.0–7.0BUY
21CalafioriARSDEF£5.8m50.5%3.81.0–7.0BUY
22IsakLIVFWD£9.1m22.3%3.81.0–7.0BUY
23TzolakisHULGKP£4.7m12.8%3.81.0–8.0BUY
24ScottBOUMID£6.1m5.8%3.72.0–7.0BUY

Differentials for GW30

Low-ownership picks our engine tags as DIFFERENTIAL — highly rated players most managers won't own, giving you a potential rank edge.

Top Pick
Marcus Tavernier
1
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.1mOnly 6.8% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.7 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 9.

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Thierno Barry
2
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.7mOnly 8.3% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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James Trafford
3
TraffordLEE · GKP
£5.0mOnly 5.5% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.0 avg

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 8.

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Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues
4
ThiagoBRE · FWD
£7.8mOnly 9.1% ownedBUY
1.0
7.03.9 avg

Consider buying — BRE are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 7.

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Harvey Barnes
5
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.1mOnly 5.7% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.9 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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GW30 Planning Checklist

Run through this before the GW30 deadline to maximise your expected points and avoid common mistakes.

  1. 1Confirm captain pick — choose your highest expected-points starter with a favourable fixture. See GW30 captain analysis →
  2. 2Check injuries before deadline — late team news can invalidate your captain and starting XI. View player availability →
  3. 3Review fixture difficulty — avoid players facing a Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) of 4–5 unless they have exceptional form. Check fixture difficulty →
  4. 4Monitor price changes — rising players gain value overnight; falling players lose it. Act before the price falls. Track price changes →
  5. 5Identify differentials — any highly-rated player below 10% ownership is a rank-up opportunity. Captaining a differential that delivers can jump you thousands of places. GW30 differentials →
  6. 6Check ownership data — know what the template squad looks like so you can decide where to be brave vs. where to follow the crowd. Most owned players →

Explore More on Onside Arena

GW30 — Common Questions

Answered by Onside AI engine

Who should I captain in GW30?

Onside's top captain pick for GW30 is Groß (BHA) with 4.5 projected points. Captain — BHA are scoring freely. 5% haul chance. Alternative: Barnes.

What are the best transfer targets for GW30?

Onside's top GW30 transfer targets are: 1. Haaland (£15.6m, 73.8% owned, 5.3 projected xP); 2. Gibbs-White (£8.0m, 15.7% owned, 4.9 projected xP); 3. Schade (£6.2m, 11.6% owned, 4.8 projected xP). These are the highest-projected players the engine rates a buy for GW30, with injured and doubtful players left out.

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW30?

Top differential for GW30: Tavernier (only 6.8% owned, 4.7 projected xP). Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 9. A differential is a high-rated, low-ownership pick that gives a rank edge if they score big.

When is the GW30 FPL deadline?

The GW30 Fantasy Premier League deadline is Sat 20 Mar, 13:30 UK time. Make sure to finalise your transfers, captain pick, and vice-captain before this time.

How does Onside generate GW30 recommendations?

Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs Monte Carlo simulations to rank captains by expected value — the median of doubled-score distributions. Data refreshes every hour. How the signals are built is proprietary.

What happened in FPL GW30?

GW30 has not yet finished. Once all matches are complete, this section will show the average score, highest score, most captained player, and top scorer. Check back after the final GW30 fixture.

Who should I captain in FPL GW30?

Onside's top captain recommendation for GW30 is Groß (BHA), projected at 4.5 expected points. For a full captain deep-dive with fixture analysis, visit /captain/30.

What is a good FPL score in GW30?

A good FPL score varies by gameweek depending on how many matches are played and how many bonus points are distributed. As a rule of thumb, scoring 10+ points above the gameweek average puts you in a strong rank-gaining position. The average FPL score across all managers typically sits between 40–65 points per gameweek. For double gameweeks, average scores can reach 80–100+ points. Check the GW30 retrospective section above once the gameweek finishes for the official average and highest scores.

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Data from the Fantasy Premier League API. Rankings by the Onside v5 engine, refreshed every hour and graded in public after each gameweek.