GW30 FPL Guide

Captain Picks · Transfer Targets · Differentials

Deadline: Sat 20 Mar, 13:30 UK time
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What should I do in FPL Gameweek 30?

For Gameweek 30, Onside's model captains Schade (5.1 projected points). The top transfer target is Haaland. The best differential is Gibbs-White, 9.7% owned. Rankings come from expected points across the gameweek fixtures with a 2,000-run Monte Carlo, graded in public afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESchade 5.1 xPts · GW30

The Onside engine has processed 26 players — here are our top picks for GW30 based on projections, Monte Carlo simulations, and fixture difficulty analysis.

Captain Picks for GW30

Ranked by the engine's captain expected-value model — the #1 pick is our highest-confidence armband recommendation.

Top Pick
Kevin Schade
1
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0m4.3% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
9.05.1 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 7% haul chance.

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Bukayo Saka
2
SakaARS · MID
£9.5m11.5% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.0 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.

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Morgan Gibbs-White
3
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9m9.7% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.2 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marcus Tavernier
4
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.0m4.1% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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Mohamed Belloumi
5
BelloumiHUL · MID
£5.0m1.7% ownedBUY
1.0
4.02.6 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 2.6 pts, ceiling 4.

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Morgan Rogers
6
RogersCHE · MID
£7.7m35.4% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.7 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.7 pts, ceiling 8.

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Emersonn Correia da Silva
7
EmersonnIPS · FWD
£5.5m2.0% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
8
João PedroCHE · FWD
£7.8m74.2% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.8 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Alex Scott
9
ScottBOU · MID
£6.1m5.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Bruno Borges Fernandes
10
B.FernandesMUN · MID
£12.0m42.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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Transfer Targets for GW30

Top STRONG BUY picks sorted by projected points — players our model rates most highly for this gameweek.

Top Pick
Erling Haaland
1
HaalandMCI · FWD
£15.5m71.7% ownedBUY
3.0
8.05.2 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 8.

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Morgan Gibbs-White
2
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9m9.7% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.2 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.

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Kevin Schade
3
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0m4.3% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
9.05.1 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 7% haul chance.

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Bukayo Saka
4
SakaARS · MID
£9.5m11.5% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.0 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marc Guéhi
5
GuéhiMCI · DEF
£6.0m18.5% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.9 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 4.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
6
João PedroCHE · FWD
£7.8m74.2% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.8 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Marcus Tavernier
7
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.0m4.1% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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Thierno Barry
8
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.6m6.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Bruno Borges Fernandes
9
B.FernandesMUN · MID
£12.0m42.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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Harvey Barnes
10
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.0m2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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Konstantinos Tzolakis
11
TzolakisHUL · GKP
£4.6m10.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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Martin Ødegaard
12
ØdegaardARS · MID
£6.7m18.6% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.2 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 7.

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Joško Gvardiol
13
GvardiolMCI · DEF
£5.6m20.6% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.2 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 7.

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David Raya Martín
14
RayaARS · GKP
£6.0m39.3% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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Riccardo Calafiori
15
CalafioriARS · DEF
£5.8m49.5% ownedBUY
1.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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James Tarkowski
16
TarkowskiEVE · DEF
£6.0m12.0% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.0 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 8.

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Alexander Isak
17
IsakLIV · FWD
£9.1m22.6% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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Cole Palmer
18
PalmerCHE · MID
£9.7m26.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.9 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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Anton Stach
19
StachLEE · MID
£6.0m2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.9 avg

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 7.

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Bryan Mbeumo
20
MbeumoMUN · MID
£7.9m23.6% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.9 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães
21
GabrielARS · DEF
£8.0m23.7% ownedBUY
1.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Alex Scott
22
ScottBOU · MID
£6.1m5.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Maxim De Cuyper
23
De CuyperBHA · DEF
£4.8m22.0% ownedBUY
1.0
8.03.8 avg

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Emersonn Correia da Silva
24
EmersonnIPS · FWD
£5.5m2.0% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.8 avg

Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.

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Differentials for GW30

Low-ownership picks our engine tags as DIFFERENTIAL — highly rated players most managers won't own, giving you a potential rank edge.

Top Pick
Morgan Gibbs-White
1
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9mOnly 9.7% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.2 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.

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Kevin Schade
2
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0mOnly 4.3% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
9.05.1 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 7% haul chance.

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Marcus Tavernier
3
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.0mOnly 4.1% ownedBUY
2.0
9.04.6 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 9.

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Thierno Barry
4
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.6mOnly 6.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Harvey Barnes
5
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.0mOnly 2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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GW30 Planning Checklist

Run through this before the GW30 deadline to maximise your expected points and avoid common mistakes.

  1. 1Confirm captain pick — choose your highest expected-points starter with a favourable fixture. See GW30 captain analysis →
  2. 2Check injuries before deadline — late team news can invalidate your captain and starting XI. View player availability →
  3. 3Review fixture difficulty — avoid players facing a Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) of 4–5 unless they have exceptional form. Check fixture difficulty →
  4. 4Monitor price changes — rising players gain value overnight; falling players lose it. Act before the price falls. Track price changes →
  5. 5Identify differentials — any highly-rated player below 10% ownership is a rank-up opportunity. Captaining a differential that delivers can jump you thousands of places. GW30 differentials →
  6. 6Check ownership data — know what the template squad looks like so you can decide where to be brave vs. where to follow the crowd. Most owned players →

Explore More on Onside Arena

GW30 — Common Questions

Answered by Onside AI engine

Who should I captain in GW30?

Onside's top captain pick for GW30 is Schade (BRE) with 5.1 projected points. Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 7% haul chance. Alternative: Saka.

What are the best transfer targets for GW30?

Onside's top GW30 transfer targets are: 1. Haaland (£15.5m, 71.7% owned, 5.2 projected xP); 2. Gibbs-White (£7.9m, 9.7% owned, 5.2 projected xP); 3. Schade (£6.0m, 4.3% owned, 5.1 projected xP). These are rated STRONG BUY by the v5 engine based on fixture difficulty, form, and Monte Carlo simulation.

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW30?

Top differential for GW30: Gibbs-White (only 9.7% owned, 5.2 projected xP). Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9. A differential is a high-rated, low-ownership pick that gives a rank edge if they score big.

When is the GW30 FPL deadline?

The GW30 Fantasy Premier League deadline is Sat 20 Mar, 13:30 UK time. Make sure to finalise your transfers, captain pick, and vice-captain before this time.

How does Onside generate GW30 recommendations?

Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs Monte Carlo simulations to rank captains by expected value — the median of doubled-score distributions. Data refreshes every hour. How the signals are built is proprietary.

What happened in FPL GW30?

GW30 has not yet finished. Once all matches are complete, this section will show the average score, highest score, most captained player, and top scorer. Check back after the final GW30 fixture.

Who should I captain in FPL GW30?

Onside's top captain recommendation for GW30 is Schade (BRE), projected at 5.1 expected points. For a full captain deep-dive with fixture analysis, visit /captain/30.

What is a good FPL score in GW30?

A good FPL score varies by gameweek depending on how many matches are played and how many bonus points are distributed. As a rule of thumb, scoring 10+ points above the gameweek average puts you in a strong rank-gaining position. The average FPL score across all managers typically sits between 40–65 points per gameweek. For double gameweeks, average scores can reach 80–100+ points. Check the GW30 retrospective section above once the gameweek finishes for the official average and highest scores.

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Data sourced from Fantasy Premier League API. Verdicts computed by the Onside v5 stacking engine with Monte Carlo simulation (k=2000). Captain rankings derive from per-player captain expected-value (median of doubled-score distribution). Refresh every hour via ISR.