GW38 FPL Guide
Captain Picks · Transfer Targets · Differentials
What should I do in FPL Gameweek 38?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
The Onside engine has processed 26 players — here are our top picks for GW38 based on projections, Monte Carlo simulations, and fixture difficulty analysis.
Captain Picks for GW38
Ranked by the engine's captain expected-value model — the #1 pick is our highest-confidence armband recommendation.
Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.
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Consider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.9 pts, ceiling 9.
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Consider buying — NFO have a friendly run-in. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.
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Consider buying — HUL have a friendly run-in. Avg 2.7 pts, ceiling 5.
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Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. Avg 3.7 pts, ceiling 7.
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Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.9 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — MUN have a friendly run-in. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.
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Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 7.
View full profileTransfer Targets for GW38
Top STRONG BUY picks sorted by projected points — players our model rates most highly for this gameweek.
Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 5.3 pts, ceiling 8.
View full profileConsider buying — NFO have a friendly run-in. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.
View full profileConsider buying — MUN have a friendly run-in. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.
View full profileConsider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.9 pts, ceiling 9.
View full profileConsider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.9 pts, ceiling 8.
View full profileCaptain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.
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Consider buying — MUN have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.5 pts, ceiling 9.
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Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — EVE have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.
View full profileConsider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 7.
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Consider buying — HUL have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — NEW have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — AVL are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 7.
View full profileConsider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.
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Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.
View full profileConsider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 7.
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Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.
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Consider buying — ARS have a friendly run-in. Avg 3.6 pts, ceiling 7.
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Consider buying — CRY have a friendly run-in. Avg 3.7 pts, ceiling 7.
View full profileDifferentials for GW38
Low-ownership picks our engine tags as DIFFERENTIAL — highly rated players most managers won't own, giving you a potential rank edge.
Consider buying — NFO have a friendly run-in. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9.
View full profileCaptain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.
View full profileConsider buying — EVE have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.
View full profileConsider buying — NEW have a friendly run-in. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.
View full profileConsider buying — AVL are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 8.
View full profileGW38 Planning Checklist
Run through this before the GW38 deadline to maximise your expected points and avoid common mistakes.
- 1Confirm captain pick — choose your highest expected-points starter with a favourable fixture. See GW38 captain analysis →
- 2Check injuries before deadline — late team news can invalidate your captain and starting XI. View player availability →
- 3Review fixture difficulty — avoid players facing a Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) of 4–5 unless they have exceptional form. Check fixture difficulty →
- 4Monitor price changes — rising players gain value overnight; falling players lose it. Act before the price falls. Track price changes →
- 5Identify differentials — any highly-rated player below 10% ownership is a rank-up opportunity. Captaining a differential that delivers can jump you thousands of places. GW38 differentials →
- 6Check ownership data — know what the template squad looks like so you can decide where to be brave vs. where to follow the crowd. Most owned players →
Explore More on Onside Arena
Also researching GW38:
Player profiles featured in this guide:
GW38 — Common Questions
Answered by Onside AI engine
Who should I captain in GW38?
Onside's top captain pick for GW38 is Schade (BRE) with 4.7 projected points. Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance. Alternative: Saka.
What are the best transfer targets for GW38?
Onside's top GW38 transfer targets are: 1. Haaland (£15.5m, 71.7% owned, 5.3 projected xP); 2. Gibbs-White (£7.9m, 9.7% owned, 5.2 projected xP); 3. B.Fernandes (£12.0m, 42.8% owned, 5.1 projected xP). These are rated STRONG BUY by the v5 engine based on fixture difficulty, form, and Monte Carlo simulation.
Who are the best FPL differentials for GW38?
Top differential for GW38: Gibbs-White (only 9.7% owned, 5.2 projected xP). Consider buying — NFO have a friendly run-in. Avg 5.2 pts, ceiling 9. A differential is a high-rated, low-ownership pick that gives a rank edge if they score big.
When is the GW38 FPL deadline?
The GW38 Fantasy Premier League deadline is Sun 30 May, 14:30 UK time. Make sure to finalise your transfers, captain pick, and vice-captain before this time.
How does Onside generate GW38 recommendations?
Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs Monte Carlo simulations to rank captains by expected value — the median of doubled-score distributions. Data refreshes every hour. How the signals are built is proprietary.
What happened in FPL GW38?
GW38 has not yet finished. Once all matches are complete, this section will show the average score, highest score, most captained player, and top scorer. Check back after the final GW38 fixture.
Who should I captain in FPL GW38?
Onside's top captain recommendation for GW38 is Schade (BRE), projected at 4.7 expected points. For a full captain deep-dive with fixture analysis, visit /captain/38.
What is a good FPL score in GW38?
A good FPL score varies by gameweek depending on how many matches are played and how many bonus points are distributed. As a rule of thumb, scoring 10+ points above the gameweek average puts you in a strong rank-gaining position. The average FPL score across all managers typically sits between 40–65 points per gameweek. For double gameweeks, average scores can reach 80–100+ points. Check the GW38 retrospective section above once the gameweek finishes for the official average and highest scores.
Get the GW38 verdict before the deadline
One email per gameweek: captain call, transfer targets and differentials from the model — graded in public. Free.
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Data sourced from Fantasy Premier League API. Verdicts computed by the Onside v5 stacking engine with Monte Carlo simulation (k=2000). Captain rankings derive from per-player captain expected-value (median of doubled-score distribution). Refresh every hour via ISR.