GW16 FPL Guide
Captain Picks · Transfer Targets · Differentials
Quick answer: Onside's top GW16 captain pick is Saka (6.6 projected xP). Top transfer target: Saka. Based on Monte Carlo projections, fixture difficulty and bookmaker odds.
The Onside engine has processed 1 player — here are our top picks for GW16 based on projections, Monte Carlo simulations, and fixture difficulty analysis.
GW16 Final Results
FinishedAvg Score
60
points
Highest Score
149
points
Transfers Made
24,497,356
across all managers
Chips Played
FPL GW16 Key Stats
Captain Picks for GW16
Ranked by the engine's captain expected-value model — the #1 pick is our highest-confidence armband recommendation.
Captain — ARS are scoring freely. xP 6.5.
View full profileTransfer Targets for GW16
Top STRONG BUY picks sorted by projected points — players our model rates most highly for this gameweek.
Captain — ARS are scoring freely. xP 6.5.
View full profileDifferentials for GW16
Low-ownership picks our engine tags as DIFFERENTIAL — highly rated players most managers won't own, giving you a potential rank edge.
Differential picks will appear here closer to the GW deadline.
GW16 Planning Checklist
Run through this before the GW16 deadline to maximise your expected points and avoid common mistakes.
- 1Confirm captain pick — choose your highest expected-points starter with a favourable fixture. See GW16 captain analysis →
- 2Check injuries before deadline — late team news can invalidate your captain and starting XI. View player availability →
- 3Review fixture difficulty — avoid players facing a Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) of 4–5 unless they have exceptional form. Check fixture difficulty →
- 4Monitor price changes — rising players gain value overnight; falling players lose it. Act before the price falls. Track price changes →
- 5Identify differentials — any highly-rated player below 10% ownership is a rank-up opportunity. Captaining a differential that delivers can jump you thousands of places. GW16 differentials →
- 6Check ownership data — know what the template squad looks like so you can decide where to be brave vs. where to follow the crowd. Most owned players →
Explore More on Onside Arena
Also researching GW16:
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GW16 — Common Questions
Answered by Onside AI engine
Who should I captain in GW16?
Onside's top captain pick for GW16 is Saka (ARS) with 6.6 projected points. Captain — ARS are scoring freely. xP 6.5.
What are the best transfer targets for GW16?
Onside's top GW16 transfer targets are: 1. Saka (£10.0m, 11.6% owned, 6.6 projected xP). These are rated STRONG BUY by the v5 engine based on fixture difficulty, form, and Monte Carlo simulation.
Who are the best FPL differentials for GW16?
Differential picks for GW16 will appear closer to the deadline.
When is the GW16 FPL deadline?
The GW16 Fantasy Premier League deadline is Sat 13 Dec, 13:30 GMT. Make sure to finalise your transfers, captain pick, and vice-captain before this time.
How does Onside generate GW16 recommendations?
Onside uses a depth-2 GBT meta-stacking engine (v5) running Monte Carlo simulations (k=2000 iterations) over 9 signals including fixture difficulty, bookmaker odds, Premier Injuries data, and per-team attacking residuals. Captain rankings use a per-player captain expected-value model based on the median of doubled-score distributions. All data refreshes every hour via ISR.
What happened in FPL GW16?
GW16 is complete. The average FPL score was 60 points. The highest score was 149 points. The most captained player was Haaland. Top individual scorer: Hudson-Odoi with 19 points. Check the retrospective section above for full details.
Who should I captain in FPL GW16?
Onside's top captain recommendation for GW16 is Saka (ARS), projected at 6.6 expected points. For a full captain deep-dive with fixture analysis, visit /captain/16.
What is a good FPL score in GW16?
A good FPL score varies by gameweek depending on how many matches are played and how many bonus points are distributed. As a rule of thumb, scoring 10+ points above the gameweek average puts you in a strong rank-gaining position. The average FPL score across all managers typically sits between 40–65 points per gameweek. For double gameweeks, average scores can reach 80–100+ points. Check the GW16 retrospective section above once the gameweek finishes for the official average and highest scores.
Data sourced from Fantasy Premier League API. Verdicts computed by the Onside v5 stacking engine with Monte Carlo simulation (k=2000). Captain rankings derive from per-player captain expected-value (median of doubled-score distribution). Refresh every hour via ISR.