How accurate are Onside match predictions?

Every gameweek we publish log-loss, RPS and accuracy against the bookmaker opening and closing lines at onsidearena.com/api/predict/receipts — the model is evaluated walk-forward with no hindsight.

Full time · GW5 · model pl-dc-v2

Bournemouth v Liverpool

Full time: Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool. The numbers here are the ones Onside sealed before kick-off (Wed 16 Sept, 12:34), never revised.

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BOU win

35%

Draw

26%

LIV win

39%

Final score

0–1

sealed pick 1–1

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What did Onside predict for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool. Before kick-off the model gave Bournemouth 35%, the draw 26% and Liverpool 39%, with a score pick of 1–1. Every prediction is sealed before the match and never revised.