Who will win Liverpool vs Bournemouth?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, BOU goals across
| LIV ↓ | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 1 | 9.4% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| LIV 2 | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| LIV 3 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| LIV 4 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.3%.
Liverpool v Bournemouth
Onside's model gives Liverpool a 55% chance of beating Bournemouth in Gameweek 38, with 25% on the draw and 20% on an away win. The score prediction is Liverpool 2–1 Bournemouth, from expected goals of 1.89 to 0.99. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).