Sunderland v Manchester City
Who will win Sunderland vs Manchester City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
SUN goals down, MCI goals across
| SUN ↓ | MCI 0 | MCI 1 | MCI 2 | MCI 3 | MCI 4 | MCI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUN 0 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| SUN 1 | 4.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| SUN 2 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| SUN 3 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| SUN 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SUN 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (0–2); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.5%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Roefs
- DEF
- Reinildo, Hume, O'Nien, Mukiele
- MID
- Xhaka, E.Le Fée, Sadiki, N.Angulo, Rigg
- FWD
- Brobbey
- Ballard — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Alderete — Suspended until 21 Nov
- Mundle — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Mukiele 75% — Concussion - 75% chance of playing
- Diarra 75% — Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Donnarumma
- DEF
- Rúben, Matheus N., Gvardiol, Guéhi
- MID
- Ndiaye, Anderson, Enzo, Doku, Cherki
- FWD
- Haaland
- Semenyo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.