Who will win Coventry City vs Liverpool?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
COV goals down, LIV goals across
| COV ↓ | LIV 0 | LIV 1 | LIV 2 | LIV 3 | LIV 4 | LIV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COV 0 | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| COV 1 | 4.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| COV 2 | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| COV 3 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| COV 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| COV 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (0–2); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.3%.
Coventry City v Liverpool
Onside's model gives Coventry City a 16% chance of beating Liverpool in Gameweek 25, with 25% on the draw and 59% on an away win. The score prediction is Coventry City 0–1 Liverpool, from expected goals of 0.78 to 1.90. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).