Who will win Manchester United vs Brighton?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MUN goals down, BHA goals across
| MUN ↓ | BHA 0 | BHA 1 | BHA 2 | BHA 3 | BHA 4 | BHA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUN 0 | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| MUN 1 | 4.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| MUN 2 | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| MUN 3 | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| MUN 4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MUN 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.4%.
Manchester United v Brighton
Onside's model gives Manchester United a 33% chance of beating Brighton in Gameweek 25, with 25% on the draw and 42% on an away win. The score prediction is Manchester United 1–2 Brighton, from expected goals of 1.60 to 1.69. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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