Who will win Liverpool vs Coventry City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, COV goals across
| LIV ↓ | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LIV 1 | 11.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 2 | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 3 | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 4 | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LIV 5 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.8%.
Liverpool v Coventry City
Onside's model gives Liverpool a 70% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 19, with 20% on the draw and 10% on an away win. The score prediction is Liverpool 2–0 Coventry City, from expected goals of 2.28 to 0.65. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).