Who will win Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, IPS goals across
| ARS ↓ | IPS 0 | IPS 1 | IPS 2 | IPS 3 | IPS 4 | IPS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 12.5% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 5.4%.
Arsenal v Ipswich Town
Onside's model gives Arsenal a 71% chance of beating Ipswich Town in Gameweek 19, with 19% on the draw and 10% on an away win. The score prediction is Arsenal 2–0 Ipswich Town, from expected goals of 2.68 to 0.68. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).