How accurate are Onside match predictions?

Every gameweek we publish log-loss, RPS and accuracy against the bookmaker opening and closing lines at onsidearena.com/api/predict/receipts — the model is evaluated walk-forward with no hindsight.

Full time · GW6 · model pl-dc-v2

Sunderland v Brighton

Full time: Sunderland 0–2 Brighton. The numbers here are the ones Onside sealed before kick-off (Tue 22 Sept, 12:39), never revised.

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SUN win

28%

Draw

26%

BHA win

46%

Final score

0–2

sealed pick 1–1

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What did Onside predict for Sunderland vs Brighton?

Sunderland 0–2 Brighton. Before kick-off the model gave Sunderland 28%, the draw 26% and Brighton 46%, with a score pick of 1–1. Every prediction is sealed before the match and never revised.