FPL · TIPS · 2026-27
Pre-season 26/27 outlook · Onside model
FPL · TIPS · 2026-27

GW3 Settled. GW4 Is Derby Week — and Wildcard Week.

FPL Gameweek 3 recap: £4.5m defenders Mitchell (15) and Bogle (14) topped the week, four draws and six clean sheets made it a defensive round, and Arsenal beat Chelsea 2-1. GW4 preview: the Manchester derby, a Saturday 13:30 UK deadline, and why the model calls this the wildcard window.

By Onside3 min read
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GW3 Settled. GW4 Is Derby Week — and Wildcard Week.

FPL Gameweek 3 recap: £4.5m defenders Mitchell (15) and Bogle (14) topped the week, four draws and six clean sheets made it a defensive round, and Arsenal beat Chelsea 2-1. GW4 preview: the Manchester derby, a Saturday 13:30 UK deadline, and why the model calls this the wildcard window.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

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Analysis by the Onside model · model graded in public, ~15% more accurate than FPLPublic track recordMethodologyUpdated 2026-09-06
FPL · GW3 SETTLED → GW4 AHEAD · 26/27

GW3 Settled. GW4 Is Derby Week — and Wildcard Week.

The £4.5m defenders won the week, the premium anchors warmed up — and next up: the Manchester derby, a Saturday-lunchtime deadline, and the wildcard window the transfer window built.

GW4 DEADLINE · UK
SAT 13:30
GAMEWEEK 3 · ALL TEN RESULTS

Four draws, six clean sheets — a defensive round

IPS v LIV
02
Isak ×2
NEW v BOU
22
BRE v SUN
11
BHA v LEE
11
FUL v CRY
23
Mitchell ×2
MCI v COV
10
Haaland
NFO v TOT
00
HUL v AVL
00
EVE v MUN
22
ARS v CHE
21
Ødegaard
THE WEEK’S TOP THREE

The hauls that decided mini-leagues

Tyrick Mitchell
CRY · £4.5m · 5.1% OWNED
15

Two goals from a £4.5m full-back — the week’s top score cost less than a bench forward.

Jayden Bogle
LEE · £4.5m · 0.9% OWNED
14

Owned by under 1% of the game. The £4.5m defender bracket owned this round.

Alexander Isak
LIV · £9.0m · 18.1% OWNED
13

A brace at Ipswich — the premium anchors warmed up right on schedule.

GAMEWEEK 4 · THE SLATE · DEADLINE SAT 13:30 UK

A lunchtime deadline, then the Manchester derby

SAT 12 · 15:00Aston Villa v Nott'm Forest
SAT 12 · 15:00Bournemouth v Brentford
SAT 12 · 15:00Chelsea v Hull CityJoão Pedro at home to promoted opposition
SAT 12 · 15:00Crystal Palace v Ipswich TownMitchell owners: the fixture holds
SAT 12 · 15:00Liverpool v FulhamIsak at Anfield, in form
SAT 12 · 17:30Spurs v Everton
SAT 12 · 20:00Sunderland v Arsenal
SUN 13 · 14:00Coventry City v Brighton
SUN 13 · 16:30Man Utd v Man CityTHE DERBY — Haaland vs Bruno, armband week
MON 14 · 20:00Leeds v Newcastle

All times UK. The deadline is Saturday 13:30 — this season’s deadlines have mostly fallen on Friday evenings, so a Saturday-lunchtime lock is the one that catches returning managers out. Set an alarm.

Gameweek 3 in sixty seconds

All ten games are in, and the round belonged to the defence. Four matches drew, six sides kept clean sheets, and the two biggest hauls of the week came from £4.5m full-backs: Tyrick Mitchell scored twice in Crystal Palace's 3-2 win at Fulham for 15 points, and Jayden Bogle — owned by under 1% of the game — returned 14 in Leeds' draw at Brighton. Under this season's defensive-contribution rules, the cheap-defender bracket is a scoring position, not a formality, and GW3 was its loudest week yet.

At the top, Arsenal's 2-1 win over Chelsea was the marquee result, with Ødegaard among the scorers. Liverpool won 2-0 at Ipswich behind an Alexander Isak brace, with Cody Gakpo assisting both, and Erling Haaland scored the only goal as City ground past Coventry. The premium anchors, quiet through the opening fortnight, warmed up in the same week the reset window opened.

Three takeaways the model is acting on

First, the £4.5m defender bracket is live. The engine's GW4 wildcard board already carries Mitchell in its defensive four — the week's top scorer at the price of a bench body. If your back line is three £4.0m fillers, that is points left on the table every single week.

Second, clean sheets clustered at the settled clubs. The sides that kept them — Liverpool, City, Spurs, Forest, Villa, Hull — are largely the ones the transfer window left alone. While half the league re-organises its rebuilt spine, defensive stability is following squad stability, which is exactly the pattern a post-window wildcard can exploit.

Third, captaincy is warming up on schedule. Isak's brace and Haaland's winner arrived in the same round, one week before they meet the league's two most watchable fixtures: Isak at home to Fulham, Haaland in the Manchester derby.

GW4: the derby, the slate, and a Saturday deadline

The headline fixture writes itself: Manchester United v Manchester City, Sunday 16:30 UK — Haaland against a United side that drew at Everton, Bruno Fernandes against the club that paid a British record for his old midfield partner. It is the armband decision of the week, and the model's captain board has both sides of it covered.

Around it, the slate leans kind to the in-form picks: Chelsea host promoted Hull City — the friendliest possible landing for João Pedro's form and the game's highest forward ownership — Liverpool host Fulham, and Palace host Ipswich, which keeps Mitchell's fixture run rolling. Arsenal travel to Sunderland on Saturday evening.

The administrative detail that decides more mini-leagues than any of it: the deadline is SATURDAY at 13:30 UK. This season's deadlines have mostly fallen on Friday evenings; a Saturday-lunchtime lock after an international break is the classic missed-deadline trap. Set the alarm now.

Why GW4 is the wildcard window

The full case lives on the wildcard page, but the short version: the record £3.49bn transfer window closed after every squad in the game was drafted, 87 FPL-listed players left the league while staying priced and selectable, six clubs were structurally rebuilt, and the market has not re-priced any of it yet. One real gameweek of post-window evidence has now landed, and the international break gives a full week to plan a reset with no midweek pressure.

The engine's live GW4 board — sixteen names, four per position, ranked on projected points over the next six gameweeks — is free on the wildcard page, alongside the honest when-not-to-fire conditions. If you would rather build the squad hands-on, the squad builder runs on the same projections; if you want the call made for your exact fifteen, the AI Coach knows your squad, your bank and the moves you have already planned.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Tyrick Mitchell (Crystal Palace, £4.5m) topped Gameweek 3 with 15 points from two goals in Palace's 3-2 win at Fulham. Jayden Bogle (Leeds, £4.5m) scored 14 and Alexander Isak (Liverpool, £9.0m) 13 from a brace at Ipswich — the week's two biggest hauls both came from £4.5m defenders.

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