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World Cup 2026 Round of 32 predictions

Onside's 10,000-run Monte Carlo points to France (12.3%) and England (11.8%) as the leading round of 32 candidates. The round of 32 run 28 June – 4 July 2026. Full top-16 below — each call is graded after full time at /model-record.
R32 PREDICTIONS · 10K MONTE CARLO · UPDATED HOURLY

World Cup 2026 Round of 32

The Round of 32 is new to the 48-team 2026 World Cup. The top two from each of the 12 groups plus the 8 best third-placed teams advance. Our model rates the favourites to come through each tie.

32 TEAMS REMAINING·28 June – 4 July 2026·FIRST KO Sun 28 Jun 20:00 BST
● TOP 16 ROUND OF 32 CANDIDATES

The sides the model rates most likely

● DEEPER
ROUND OF 32 FAQ

FAQ

+Which teams are most likely to reach the Round of 32 at the World Cup 2026?

Per Onside's model, France, England, Spain, Argentina, Portugal are the most likely sides to be involved in the Round of 32. Full top 16 list with champion probability is above.

+When are the World Cup 2026 Round of 32?

The Round of 32 run 28 June – 4 July 2026. First kick-off is Sun 28 Jun 20:00 BST.

+Who is favourite to win the World Cup 2026?

France currently leads the model at 12.3% champion probability, with England next at 11.8%. The Final is at MetLife Stadium on 19 July.

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