GW7 FPL Guide

Captain Picks · Transfer Targets · Differentials

Deadline: Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 UK time
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What should I do in FPL Gameweek 7?

For Gameweek 7, Onside's model captains Schade (4.7 projected points). The top transfer target is Haaland. The best differential is Tavernier, 4.6% owned. Rankings come from expected points across the gameweek fixtures with a 2,000-run Monte Carlo, graded in public afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

LIVESchade 4.7 xPts · GW7

The Onside engine has processed 27 players — here are our top picks for GW7 based on projections, Monte Carlo simulations, and fixture difficulty analysis.

Captain Picks for GW7

Ranked by the engine's captain expected-value model — the #1 pick is our highest-confidence armband recommendation.

Top Pick
Kevin Schade
1
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0m4.9% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
9.04.7 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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Pascal Groß
2
GroßBHA · MID
£5.6m17.1% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.1 avg

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 7.

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Bukayo Saka
3
SakaARS · MID
£9.5m11.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.5 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.5 pts, ceiling 8.

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Morgan Gibbs-White
4
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9m10.4% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.1 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.1 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marcus Tavernier
5
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.1m4.6% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.0 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.

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Mohamed Belloumi
6
BelloumiHUL · MID
£5.0m2.2% ownedBUY
1.0
5.02.7 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 2.6 pts, ceiling 5.

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Erling Haaland
7
HaalandMCI · FWD
£15.5m71.9% ownedBUY
3.0
11.05.9 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 5.9 pts, ceiling 11.

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Morgan Rogers
8
RogersCHE · MID
£7.7m36.3% ownedBUY
2.0
7.03.6 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 3.5 pts, ceiling 7.

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Bruno Borges Fernandes
9
B.FernandesMUN · MID
£12.0m42.4% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Emersonn Correia da Silva
10
EmersonnIPS · FWD
£5.5m2.2% ownedBUY
2.0
6.03.4 avg

Consider buying — IPS are scoring freely. Avg 3.4 pts, ceiling 6.

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Transfer Targets for GW7

Top STRONG BUY picks sorted by projected points — players our model rates most highly for this gameweek.

Top Pick
Erling Haaland
1
HaalandMCI · FWD
£15.5m71.9% ownedBUY
3.0
11.05.9 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 5.9 pts, ceiling 11.

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Morgan Gibbs-White
2
Gibbs-WhiteNFO · MID
£7.9m10.4% ownedBUY
3.0
9.05.1 avg

Consider buying — NFO are scoring freely. Avg 5.1 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marcus Tavernier
3
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.1m4.6% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.0 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.

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Marc Guéhi
4
GuéhiMCI · DEF
£6.0m18.5% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.9 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 4.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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Kevin Schade
5
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0m4.9% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
9.04.7 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
6
João PedroCHE · FWD
£7.8m74.7% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.7 avg

Consider buying — CHE are scoring freely. Avg 4.7 pts, ceiling 8.

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Joško Gvardiol
7
GvardiolMCI · DEF
£5.7m21.5% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.6 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 4.6 pts, ceiling 8.

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Bukayo Saka
8
SakaARS · MID
£9.5m11.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.5 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.5 pts, ceiling 8.

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Bruno Borges Fernandes
9
B.FernandesMUN · MID
£12.0m42.4% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.4 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 4.4 pts, ceiling 8.

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Thierno Barry
10
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.6m6.4% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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Harvey Barnes
11
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.0m2.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.2 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 8.

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Martin Ødegaard
12
ØdegaardARS · MID
£6.7m18.9% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.1 avg

Consider buying — ARS are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 7.

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Alex Scott
13
ScottBOU · MID
£6.1m5.9% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

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Pascal Groß
14
GroßBHA · MID
£5.6m17.1% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.1 avg

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 7.

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James Tarkowski
15
TarkowskiEVE · DEF
£6.1m12.6% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 8.

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Bryan Mbeumo
16
MbeumoMUN · MID
£7.9m23.3% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — MUN are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

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Konstantinos Tzolakis
17
TzolakisHUL · GKP
£4.6m10.5% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — HUL are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

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Anton Stach
18
StachLEE · MID
£6.0m2.7% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — LEE are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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Alexander Isak
19
IsakLIV · FWD
£9.1m22.5% ownedBUY
2.0
7.04.0 avg

Consider buying — LIV are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 7.

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Micky van de Ven
20
Van de VenTOT · DEF
£5.0m3.9% ownedBUY
1.0
8.04.0 avg

Consider buying — TOT are scoring freely. Avg 4.0 pts, ceiling 8.

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Maxim De Cuyper
21
De CuyperBHA · DEF
£4.8m22.8% ownedBUY
1.0
8.03.9 avg

Consider buying — BHA are scoring freely. Avg 3.9 pts, ceiling 8.

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Josh King
22
KingFUL · MID
£5.5m1.4% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.8 avg

Consider buying — FUL are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Antoine Semenyo
23
SemenyoMCI · MID
£8.4m15.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.8 avg

Consider buying — MCI are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Enzo Le Fée
24
E.Le FéeSUN · MID
£5.8m4.2% ownedBUY
2.0
8.03.8 avg

Consider buying — SUN are scoring freely. Avg 3.8 pts, ceiling 8.

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Differentials for GW7

Low-ownership picks our engine tags as DIFFERENTIAL — highly rated players most managers won't own, giving you a potential rank edge.

Top Pick
Marcus Tavernier
1
TavernierBOU · MID
£6.1mOnly 4.6% ownedBUY
2.0
9.05.0 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9.

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Kevin Schade
2
SchadeBRE · MID
£6.0mOnly 4.9% ownedMUST CAPTAIN
3.0
9.04.7 avg

Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance.

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Thierno Barry
3
BarryEVE · FWD
£5.6mOnly 6.4% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.3 avg

Consider buying — EVE are scoring freely. Avg 4.3 pts, ceiling 8.

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Harvey Barnes
4
BarnesNEW · MID
£6.0mOnly 2.8% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.2 avg

Consider buying — NEW are scoring freely. Avg 4.2 pts, ceiling 8.

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Alex Scott
5
ScottBOU · MID
£6.1mOnly 5.9% ownedBUY
2.0
8.04.1 avg

Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 4.1 pts, ceiling 8.

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GW7 Planning Checklist

Run through this before the GW7 deadline to maximise your expected points and avoid common mistakes.

  1. 1Confirm captain pick — choose your highest expected-points starter with a favourable fixture. See GW7 captain analysis →
  2. 2Check injuries before deadline — late team news can invalidate your captain and starting XI. View player availability →
  3. 3Review fixture difficulty — avoid players facing a Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) of 4–5 unless they have exceptional form. Check fixture difficulty →
  4. 4Monitor price changes — rising players gain value overnight; falling players lose it. Act before the price falls. Track price changes →
  5. 5Identify differentials — any highly-rated player below 10% ownership is a rank-up opportunity. Captaining a differential that delivers can jump you thousands of places. GW7 differentials →
  6. 6Check ownership data — know what the template squad looks like so you can decide where to be brave vs. where to follow the crowd. Most owned players →

Explore More on Onside Arena

GW7 — Common Questions

Answered by Onside AI engine

Who should I captain in GW7?

Onside's top captain pick for GW7 is Schade (BRE) with 4.7 projected points. Captain — BRE are scoring freely. 5% haul chance. Alternative: Groß.

What are the best transfer targets for GW7?

Onside's top GW7 transfer targets are: 1. Haaland (£15.5m, 71.9% owned, 5.9 projected xP); 2. Gibbs-White (£7.9m, 10.4% owned, 5.1 projected xP); 3. Tavernier (£6.1m, 4.6% owned, 5.0 projected xP). These are rated STRONG BUY by the v5 engine based on fixture difficulty, form, and Monte Carlo simulation.

Who are the best FPL differentials for GW7?

Top differential for GW7: Tavernier (only 4.6% owned, 5.0 projected xP). Consider buying — BOU are scoring freely. Avg 5.0 pts, ceiling 9. A differential is a high-rated, low-ownership pick that gives a rank edge if they score big.

When is the GW7 FPL deadline?

The GW7 Fantasy Premier League deadline is Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 UK time. Make sure to finalise your transfers, captain pick, and vice-captain before this time.

How does Onside generate GW7 recommendations?

Onside blends nine independent signals into an expected-points score, then runs Monte Carlo simulations to rank captains by expected value — the median of doubled-score distributions. Data refreshes every hour. How the signals are built is proprietary.

What happened in FPL GW7?

GW7 has not yet finished. Once all matches are complete, this section will show the average score, highest score, most captained player, and top scorer. Check back after the final GW7 fixture.

Who should I captain in FPL GW7?

Onside's top captain recommendation for GW7 is Schade (BRE), projected at 4.7 expected points. For a full captain deep-dive with fixture analysis, visit /captain/7.

What is a good FPL score in GW7?

A good FPL score varies by gameweek depending on how many matches are played and how many bonus points are distributed. As a rule of thumb, scoring 10+ points above the gameweek average puts you in a strong rank-gaining position. The average FPL score across all managers typically sits between 40–65 points per gameweek. For double gameweeks, average scores can reach 80–100+ points. Check the GW7 retrospective section above once the gameweek finishes for the official average and highest scores.

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Data sourced from Fantasy Premier League API. Verdicts computed by the Onside v5 stacking engine with Monte Carlo simulation (k=2000). Captain rankings derive from per-player captain expected-value (median of doubled-score distribution). Refresh every hour via ISR.