Who will win Everton vs Coventry City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
EVE goals down, COV goals across
| EVE ↓ | COV 0 | COV 1 | COV 2 | COV 3 | COV 4 | COV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE 0 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 1 | 15.0% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| EVE 2 | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 3 | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 4 | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVE 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.5%.
Everton v Coventry City
Onside's model gives Everton a 58% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 10, with 27% on the draw and 15% on an away win. The score prediction is Everton 1–0 Coventry City, from expected goals of 1.56 to 0.69. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).