Rank dropping? Bad gameweek? The Season Pass is back at £24.99 until 8 November — 3d 7h 11m left.Season Pass £24.99 · 3d 7h leftSEE THE SEASON PASSSEE IT
Sat 7 Nov · 15:00 UK · GW10 · model pl-market-v2

Fulham v Newcastle United

The Onside model's call for Gameweek 10, from expected goals of 1.33 to 1.24. Recorded before kick-off and graded in public.
FUL win
44%
Draw
27%
NEW win
29%
Score pick
1–0
most likely 1–1
QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle United?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Newcastle United in Gameweek 10: Fulham 44%, draw 27%, Newcastle United 29%. The score pick is Fulham 1–0 Newcastle United, and the single most probable scoreline is 1–1. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, NEW goals across

FUL ↓NEW 0NEW 1NEW 2NEW 3NEW 4NEW 5
FUL 09.2%8.0%5.9%2.4%0.8%0.2%
FUL 18.6%14.1%7.8%3.3%1.0%0.3%
FUL 26.7%8.4%5.2%2.2%0.7%0.2%
FUL 33.0%3.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
FUL 41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
FUL 50.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.

Your call
AI calls
1–0
Your call
·
–
·
locks in 46h 11m
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.33 — 1.24
★ MODE
1–1
14.1%
0–0
9.2%
1–0
8.6%
2–1
8.4%
0–1
8.0%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
47%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
54%

Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #18 and defence #10 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.10 on goal rate.
Newcastle United
Attack ranks #9, defence #17. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.33–1.24.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-market-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

GW10 · TEAM NEWS

Predicted line-ups & team news

Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.

Fulham
4-5-1
GK
Leno
DEF
Bassey, Affengruber, Robinson, Castagne
MID
Iwobi, King, Bobb, Charles, Berge
FWD
Gonzalo

No injury or suspension flags.

TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL FUL LINE-UP →
Newcastle United
4-5-1
GK
Horníček
DEF
Hall, Dedić, Schär, Burn
MID
Barnes, N.Gonzalez, Willock, Joelinton, J.Murphy
FWD
Osula
  • J.Ramsey — Suspended until 21 Nov
  • Jaouen — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
  • Livramento — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • L.Miley 75% — Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Fernandez-Pardo 75% — Illness - 75% chance of playing
TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL NEW LINE-UP →
Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW21Newcastle vs Fulham prediction→All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW10 predictions