Arsenal v Hull City
Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, HUL goals across
| ARS ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 13.7% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.2%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-market-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Raya
- DEF
- Gabriel, Konsa, Calafiori, White
- MID
- Rice, Ødegaard, Madueke, Tzolis, Bruno G.
- FWD
- Havertz
- Saka — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Dowman — Suspended until 29 Nov
- GK
- Tzolakis
- DEF
- Ajayi, Coyle, Egan, Giles, Mendy
- MID
- Slater, Belloumi, Stroud, Iroegbunam
- FWD
- McBurnie
- Targett — Ankle injury - Unknown return date
- Crooks — Suspended until 22 Nov
- Hughes — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Matazo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gyabi — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Butland 50% — Arm injury - 50% chance of playing
- Gourna-Douath 75% — Calf injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.