Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, HUL goals across
| ARS ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 12.6% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.1%.
Arsenal v Hull City
Onside's model gives Arsenal a 61% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 10, with 25% on the draw and 14% on an away win. The score prediction is Arsenal 2–0 Hull City, from expected goals of 2.12 to 0.63. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).