Hull City v Arsenal
Who will win Hull City vs Arsenal?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
HUL goals down, ARS goals across
| HUL ↓ | ARS 0 | ARS 1 | ARS 2 | ARS 3 | ARS 4 | ARS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUL 0 | 10.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| HUL 1 | 4.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| HUL 2 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| HUL 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| HUL 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| HUL 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (0–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.9%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Tzolakis
- DEF
- Ajayi, Coyle, Egan, Giles, Mendy
- MID
- Slater, Belloumi, Stroud, Iroegbunam
- FWD
- McBurnie
- Targett — Ankle injury - Unknown return date
- Crooks — Suspended until 22 Nov
- Hughes — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Morita — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Matazo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gourna-Douath 75% — Calf injury - 75% chance of playing
- Gyabi 75% — Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Raya
- DEF
- Gabriel, Calafiori, Konsa, White
- MID
- Rice, Ødegaard, Madueke, Tzolis, Bruno G.
- FWD
- Havertz
- Saka — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Dowman — Suspended until 29 Nov
- Konsa 75% — Knee injury - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.