Who will win Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LIV goals down, CRY goals across
| LIV ↓ | CRY 0 | CRY 1 | CRY 2 | CRY 3 | CRY 4 | CRY 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIV 0 | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 1 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 2 | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| LIV 3 | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LIV 4 | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LIV 5 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.6%.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Onside's model gives Liverpool a 62% chance of beating Crystal Palace in Gameweek 21, with 22% on the draw and 16% on an away win. The score prediction is Liverpool 2–0 Crystal Palace, from expected goals of 2.22 to 0.87. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).