Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BOU goals down, LEE goals across
| BOU ↓ | LEE 0 | LEE 1 | LEE 2 | LEE 3 | LEE 4 | LEE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOU 0 | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| BOU 1 | 9.3% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| BOU 2 | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| BOU 3 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BOU 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BOU 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Bournemouth v Leeds United
Onside's model gives Bournemouth a 33% chance of beating Leeds United in Gameweek 9, with 30% on the draw and 37% on an away win. The score prediction is Bournemouth 1–0 Leeds United, from expected goals of 1.33 to 1.18. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).