Who will win Leeds United vs Bournemouth?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LEE goals down, BOU goals across
| LEE ↓ | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEE 0 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LEE 1 | 9.9% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| LEE 2 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LEE 3 | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| LEE 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LEE 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Leeds United v Bournemouth
Onside's model gives Leeds United a 48% chance of beating Bournemouth in Gameweek 24, with 28% on the draw and 24% on an away win. The score prediction is Leeds United 1–0 Bournemouth, from expected goals of 1.41 to 1.11. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).