Leeds United v Bournemouth
Who will win Leeds United vs Bournemouth?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
LEE goals down, BOU goals across
| LEE ↓ | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEE 0 | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| LEE 1 | 9.8% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| LEE 2 | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LEE 3 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| LEE 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| LEE 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Trafford
- DEF
- Bogle, Muharemović, Justin, Gudmundsson, Elvedi
- MID
- Ampadu, Tanaka, Wilson, James
- FWD
- Calvert-Lewin
- Mateo Joseph — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Calvert-Lewin 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
- Stach 50% — Foot injury - 50% chance of playing
- Okafor 50% — Thigh injury - 50% chance of playing
- GK
- Petrović
- DEF
- Truffert, Hill, Silva, Smith
- MID
- Rayan, Tavernier, Adams, Christie, Kluivert
- FWD
- Evanilson
- Scott — Thigh injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- Sanchez — Ankle injury - Unknown return date
- Milosavljević — Thigh injury - Expected back 31 Oct
- J.Araujo — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Tóth.A — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.