Arsenal v Liverpool
Who will win Arsenal vs Liverpool?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, LIV goals across
| ARS ↓ | LIV 0 | LIV 1 | LIV 2 | LIV 3 | LIV 4 | LIV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 13.6% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 11.4% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.5%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Raya
- DEF
- Gabriel, Konsa, Calafiori, White
- MID
- Rice, Ødegaard, Madueke, Tzolis, Bruno G.
- FWD
- Havertz
- Saka — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Dowman — Suspended until 29 Nov
- GK
- A.Becker
- DEF
- Virgil, Jacquet, Kerkez, Araujo
- MID
- Wirtz, Mac Allister, Barcola, Gakpo, Munoz
- FWD
- Isak
- Frimpong — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ekitiké — Achilles injury - Unknown return date
- Jaros — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Bradley — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Leoni — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gravenberch 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.