Brighton v Hull City
Who will win Brighton vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BHA goals down, HUL goals across
| BHA ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHA 0 | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 1 | 9.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 2 | 12.4% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BHA 3 | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 4 | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 5 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 3.0%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Verbruggen
- DEF
- Vuskovic, De Cuyper, Boscagli, Dunk, F.Kadıoğlu
- MID
- Gomez, Groß, Ayari, Andrés
- FWD
- Kostoulas
- Struijk — Hamstring injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Yohanna — Unspecified injury - Expected back 22 Nov
- Mitoma — Hamstring injury - Expected back 22 Nov
- Azeez — Hamstring injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Tzimas — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- F.Kadıoğlu 75% — Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- GK
- Tzolakis
- DEF
- Ajayi, Coyle, Egan, Giles, Mendy
- MID
- Slater, Belloumi, Stroud, Iroegbunam
- FWD
- McBurnie
- Targett — Ankle injury - Unknown return date
- Crooks — Suspended until 22 Nov
- Hughes — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Morita — Groin injury - Unknown return date
- Matazo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gourna-Douath 75% — Calf injury - 75% chance of playing
- Gyabi 75% — Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.