Who will win Fulham vs Manchester City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
FUL goals down, MCI goals across
| FUL ↓ | MCI 0 | MCI 1 | MCI 2 | MCI 3 | MCI 4 | MCI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL 0 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| FUL 1 | 4.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| FUL 2 | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| FUL 3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| FUL 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| FUL 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 1.4%.
Fulham v Manchester City
Onside's model gives Fulham a 26% chance of beating Manchester City in Gameweek 24, with 27% on the draw and 47% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 1–2 Manchester City, from expected goals of 0.98 to 1.92. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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