QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Ipswich Town?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Ipswich Town in Gameweek 35: Fulham 51%, draw 25%, Ipswich Town 24%. The score pick is Fulham 21 Ipswich Town, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, IPS goals across

FULIPS 0IPS 1IPS 2IPS 3IPS 4IPS 5
FUL 07.3%5.4%3.8%1.5%0.4%0.1%
FUL 18.7%12.8%6.5%2.5%0.7%0.2%
FUL 28.5%9.6%5.5%2.1%0.6%0.1%
FUL 34.7%5.4%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
FUL 42.0%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%0.0%
FUL 50.7%0.8%0.4%0.2%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.9%.

Sat 8 May · 15:00 UK · GW35 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Ipswich Town

Onside's model gives Fulham a 51% chance of beating Ipswich Town in Gameweek 35, with 25% on the draw and 24% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 21 Ipswich Town, from expected goals of 1.68 to 1.14. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Fulham
51%
Draw
25%
Ipswich Town
24%
Model pick: 21 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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locks Sat 14:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.681.14
★ MODE
11
12.8%
21
9.6%
10
8.7%
20
8.5%
00
7.3%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
53%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
57%

Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #17 and defence #13 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.09 on goal rate.
Ipswich Town
Attack ranks #14, defence #20. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.681.14.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW6Ipswich Town vs Fulham predictionAll predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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Fulham vs Ipswich Town Prediction — GW35 Score & Win Probability