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Sat 8 May · 15:00 UK · GW35 · model pl-dc-v2

Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace

The Onside model's call for Gameweek 35, from expected goals of 1.38 to 1.02. Recorded before kick-off and graded in public.
NFO win
46%
Draw
30%
CRY win
24%
Score pick
1–0
most likely 1–1
QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

The Onside model makes Nottingham Forest the more likely winner of Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace in Gameweek 35: Nottingham Forest 46%, draw 30%, Crystal Palace 24%. The score pick is Nottingham Forest 1–0 Crystal Palace, and the single most probable scoreline is 1–1. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

NFO goals down, CRY goals across

NFO ↓CRY 0CRY 1CRY 2CRY 3CRY 4CRY 5
NFO 010.6%7.7%4.7%1.6%0.4%0.1%
NFO 111.0%14.3%6.5%2.2%0.6%0.1%
NFO 28.6%8.8%4.5%1.5%0.4%0.1%
NFO 34.0%4.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
NFO 41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
NFO 50.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.

Your call
AI calls
1–0
Your call
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locks Sat 15:00 UK
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.38 — 1.02
★ MODE
1–1
14.3%
1–0
11.0%
0–0
10.6%
2–1
8.8%
2–0
8.6%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
49%

Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Nottingham Forest
Attack ranks #20 and defence #13 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.10 on goal rate.
Crystal Palace
Attack ranks #14, defence #19. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.38–1.02.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

GW35 · TEAM NEWS

Predicted line-ups & team news

Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.

Nottingham Forest
5-4-1
GK
Sels
DEF
Murillo, N.Williams, Jair Cunha, Muñoz, Milenković
MID
McAtee, Ndoye, Schlager, Gibbs-White
FWD
Delap
  • Igor Jesus — Calf injury - Unknown return date
  • Savona — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Dominguez 75% — Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL NFO LINE-UP →
Crystal Palace
5-4-1
GK
Benitez
DEF
Mitchell, Richards, Canvot, Khalaili, Disasi
MID
Wharton, Kamada, Yeremy, McNeil
FWD
Strand Larsen
  • Mateta — Suspended until 2 Dec
  • Sarr — Groin injury - Expected back 8 Nov
  • Tomiyasu — Calf injury - Expected back 8 Nov
  • Chadi Riad — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Uche — has returned to Getafe CF
  • Strand Larsen 75% — Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Timber 75% — Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL CRY LINE-UP →
Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW6Crystal Palace vs Nott'm Forest prediction→All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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