Who will win Everton vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
EVE goals down, HUL goals across
| EVE ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE 0 | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| EVE 1 | 11.9% | 13.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| EVE 2 | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| EVE 3 | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 4 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Everton v Hull City
Onside's model gives Everton a 47% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 35, with 30% on the draw and 23% on an away win. The score prediction is Everton 1–0 Hull City, from expected goals of 1.47 to 0.93. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 60 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).