QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

The Onside model makes Tottenham Hotspur the more likely winner of Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City in Gameweek 7: Tottenham Hotspur 41%, draw 29%, Coventry City 30%. The score pick is Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Coventry City, and the single most probable scoreline is 1–1. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

TOT goals down, COV goals across

TOT ↓COV 0COV 1COV 2COV 3COV 4COV 5
TOT 08.6%5.7%3.5%1.2%0.3%0.1%
TOT 110.4%13.1%5.8%1.9%0.5%0.1%
TOT 29.7%9.6%4.8%1.6%0.4%0.1%
TOT 35.3%5.3%2.6%0.9%0.2%0.0%
TOT 42.2%2.2%1.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%
TOT 50.7%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.7%.

Mon 19 Oct · 20:00 UK · GW7 · model pl-dc-v2

Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City

Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 41% chance of beating Coventry City in Gameweek 7, with 29% on the draw and 30% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Coventry City, from expected goals of 1.65 to 0.99. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Tottenham Hotspur
41%
Draw
29%
Coventry City
30%
Model pick: 1–0 · most probable 1–1
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
Your call
AI calls
1–0
Your call
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locks Mon 19:00
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.65 — 0.99
★ MODE
1–1
13.1%
1–0
10.4%
2–0
9.7%
2–1
9.6%
0–0
8.6%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
49%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
52%

Model updated from 60 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Tottenham Hotspur
Attack ranks #13 and defence #9 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.10 on goal rate.
Coventry City
Attack ranks #20, defence #18. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.65–0.99.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW36Coventry City vs Spurs prediction→All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City Prediction: 1-0 (GW7)