QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?

The Onside model makes Fulham the more likely winner of Fulham vs Hull City in Gameweek 7: Fulham 42%, draw 30%, Hull City 28%. The score pick is Fulham 10 Hull City, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, HUL goals across

FULHUL 0HUL 1HUL 2HUL 3HUL 4HUL 5
FUL 010.8%8.1%5.1%1.8%0.5%0.1%
FUL 110.7%14.5%6.8%2.4%0.6%0.1%
FUL 28.2%8.6%4.5%1.6%0.4%0.1%
FUL 33.6%3.8%2.0%0.7%0.2%0.0%
FUL 41.2%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
FUL 50.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK · GW7 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Hull City

Onside's model gives Fulham a 42% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 7, with 30% on the draw and 28% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 10 Hull City, from expected goals of 1.33 to 1.05. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Fulham
42%
Draw
30%
Hull City
28%
Model pick: 10 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.331.05
★ MODE
11
14.5%
00
10.8%
10
10.7%
21
8.6%
20
8.2%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
49%

Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #17 and defence #13 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.09 on goal rate.
Hull City
Attack ranks #18, defence #14. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.331.05.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW36Hull City vs Fulham predictionAll predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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Fulham vs Hull City Prediction — GW7 Score & Win Probability