QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Hull City vs Fulham?

The Onside model makes Hull City the more likely winner of Hull City vs Fulham in Gameweek 36: Hull City 37%, draw 31%, Fulham 32%. The score pick is Hull City 10 Fulham, and the single most probable scoreline is 11. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

HUL goals down, FUL goals across

HULFUL 0FUL 1FUL 2FUL 3FUL 4FUL 5
HUL 010.9%8.8%5.8%2.1%0.6%0.1%
HUL 110.2%14.6%7.3%2.7%0.7%0.2%
HUL 27.4%8.2%4.6%1.7%0.5%0.1%
HUL 33.1%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
HUL 41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
HUL 50.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (11); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.

Sat 15 May · 15:00 UK · GW36 · model pl-dc-v2

Hull City v Fulham

Onside's model gives Hull City a 37% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 36, with 31% on the draw and 32% on an away win. The score prediction is Hull City 10 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.26 to 1.11. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.

Hull City
37%
Draw
31%
Fulham
32%
Model pick: 10 · most probable 11
OUR RECORD — MODEL RECEIPTS →
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SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
1.261.11
★ MODE
11
14.6%
00
10.9%
10
10.2%
01
8.8%
21
8.2%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
50%

Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Hull City
Attack ranks #18 and defence #14 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.09 on goal rate.
Fulham
Attack ranks #17, defence #13. Expected goals in this fixture: 1.261.11.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW7Fulham vs Hull City predictionAll predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
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