Who will win Manchester United vs Leeds United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MUN goals down, LEE goals across
| MUN ↓ | LEE 0 | LEE 1 | LEE 2 | LEE 3 | LEE 4 | LEE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUN 0 | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MUN 1 | 9.1% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| MUN 2 | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| MUN 3 | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MUN 4 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MUN 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.7%.
Manchester United v Leeds United
Onside's model gives Manchester United a 37% chance of beating Leeds United in Gameweek 36, with 28% on the draw and 35% on an away win. The score prediction is Manchester United 1–0 Leeds United, from expected goals of 1.59 to 1.13. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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