Manchester United v Leeds United
Who will win Manchester United vs Leeds United?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MUN goals down, LEE goals across
| MUN ↓ | LEE 0 | LEE 1 | LEE 2 | LEE 3 | LEE 4 | LEE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUN 0 | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MUN 1 | 10.8% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| MUN 2 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MUN 3 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MUN 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MUN 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Lammens
- DEF
- Maguire, Dalot, Yoro, Heaven
- MID
- Mbeumo, B.Fernandes, Amad, Andrey Santos, Tielemans, Cunha
- Shaw — Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
- Martinez — Suspended until 22 Nov
- Šeško — Shin injury - Unknown return date
- Dorgu — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ugarte — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Rashford 75% — Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- Baleba 50% — Hamstring injury - 50% chance of playing
- GK
- Trafford
- DEF
- Bogle, Muharemović, Justin, Gudmundsson, Elvedi
- MID
- Ampadu, Tanaka, Stach, Wilson
- FWD
- Calvert-Lewin
- Rodon — Hamstring injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- Mateo Joseph — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Okafor 75% — Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.
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