Who will win Coventry City vs Tottenham Hotspur?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
COV goals down, TOT goals across
| COV ↓ | TOT 0 | TOT 1 | TOT 2 | TOT 3 | TOT 4 | TOT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COV 0 | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| COV 1 | 7.7% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| COV 2 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| COV 3 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| COV 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| COV 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Coventry City v Tottenham Hotspur
Onside's model gives Coventry City a 31% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 36, with 31% on the draw and 38% on an away win. The score prediction is Coventry City 0–1 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 1.03 to 1.39. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).