Sunderland v Bournemouth
Who will win Sunderland vs Bournemouth?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
SUN goals down, BOU goals across
| SUN ↓ | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUN 0 | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| SUN 1 | 6.9% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| SUN 2 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| SUN 3 | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| SUN 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SUN 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.5%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Roefs
- DEF
- Reinildo, Hume, O'Nien, Mukiele
- MID
- Xhaka, E.Le Fée, Sadiki, N.Angulo, Rigg
- FWD
- Brobbey
- Ballard — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Alderete — Suspended until 21 Nov
- Mundle — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Mukiele 75% — Concussion - 75% chance of playing
- Diarra 75% — Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Petrović
- DEF
- Truffert, Hill, Silva, Smith
- MID
- Rayan, Tavernier, Adams, Christie, Kluivert
- FWD
- Evanilson
- Scott — Thigh injury - Expected back 21 Nov
- Milosavljević — Thigh injury - Expected back 31 Oct
- J.Araujo — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Tóth.A — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.