Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
TOT goals down, NFO goals across
| TOT ↓ | NFO 0 | NFO 1 | NFO 2 | NFO 3 | NFO 4 | NFO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOT 0 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TOT 1 | 11.2% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| TOT 2 | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| TOT 3 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| TOT 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| TOT 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.3%.
Tottenham Hotspur v Nottingham Forest
Onside's model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 33% chance of beating Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 29, with 31% on the draw and 36% on an away win. The score prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Nottingham Forest, from expected goals of 1.34 to 1.01. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).