Arsenal v Sunderland
Who will win Arsenal vs Sunderland?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
ARS goals down, SUN goals across
| ARS ↓ | SUN 0 | SUN 1 | SUN 2 | SUN 3 | SUN 4 | SUN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS 0 | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 1 | 14.0% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 2 | 16.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 3 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 4 | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ARS 5 | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 2.5%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Raya
- DEF
- Gabriel, Konsa, Calafiori, White
- MID
- Rice, Ødegaard, Madueke, Tzolis, Bruno G.
- FWD
- Havertz
- Saka — Thigh injury - Unknown return date
- Dowman — Suspended until 29 Nov
- GK
- Roefs
- DEF
- Reinildo, Hume, O'Nien, Mukiele
- MID
- Xhaka, E.Le Fée, Sadiki, N.Angulo, Rigg
- FWD
- Brobbey
- Ballard — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Alderete — Suspended until 21 Nov
- Mundle — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Mukiele 75% — Concussion - 75% chance of playing
- Diarra 75% — Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.