Rank dropping? Bad gameweek? The Season Pass is back at £24.99 until 8 November — 3d 9h 33m left.Season Pass £24.99 · 3d 9h leftSEE THE SEASON PASSSEE IT
Sat 20 Mar · 15:00 UK · GW30 · model pl-dc-v2

Fulham v Liverpool

The Onside model's call for Gameweek 30, from expected goals of 0.91 to 1.42. Recorded before kick-off and graded in public.
FUL win
28%
Draw
30%
LIV win
42%
Score pick
0–1
most likely 1–1
QUICK ANSWER

Who will win Fulham vs Liverpool?

The Onside model makes Liverpool the more likely winner of Fulham vs Liverpool in Gameweek 30: Fulham 28%, draw 30%, Liverpool 42%. The score pick is Fulham 0–1 Liverpool, and the single most probable scoreline is 1–1. This prediction is timestamped before kick-off and is never revised afterwards.

— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.

Every scoreline, priced

FUL goals down, LIV goals across

FUL ↓LIV 0LIV 1LIV 2LIV 3LIV 4LIV 5
FUL 011.2%12.3%9.8%4.6%1.6%0.5%
FUL 17.4%14.1%8.9%4.2%1.5%0.4%
FUL 24.1%5.7%4.1%1.9%0.7%0.2%
FUL 31.2%1.8%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
FUL 40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
FUL 50.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%

The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.

Your call
AI calls
0–1
Your call
·
–
·
locks Sat 15:00 UK
SCORELINE DISTRIBUTION · ONSIDE MODEL

Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts

EXPECTED GOALS
0.91 — 1.42
★ MODE
1–1
14.1%
0–1
12.3%
0–0
11.2%
0–2
9.8%
1–2
8.9%
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
47%

Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.

Why the model leans this way
Fulham
Attack ranks #18 and defence #10 of 20 on Onside's xG-based ratings, with home advantage worth ×1.10 on goal rate.
Liverpool
Attack ranks #5, defence #3. Expected goals in this fixture: 0.91–1.42.

Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.

GW30 · TEAM NEWS

Predicted line-ups & team news

Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.

Fulham
4-5-1
GK
Leno
DEF
Bassey, Affengruber, Robinson, Castagne
MID
Iwobi, King, Bobb, Charles, Berge
FWD
Gonzalo

No injury or suspension flags.

TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH

Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.

FULL FUL LINE-UP →
Liverpool
4-5-1
GK
A.Becker
DEF
Virgil, Jacquet, Kerkez, Araujo
MID
Wirtz, Mac Allister, Barcola, Gakpo, Munoz
FWD
Isak
  • Frimpong — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
  • Ekitiké — Achilles injury - Unknown return date
  • Jaros — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Bradley — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Leoni — Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Gravenberch 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
TEAM NEWS SINCE THEIR LAST MATCH
FULL LIV LINE-UP →
Think you can beat this call?

Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.

THE REVERSE FIXTURE · GW4Liverpool vs Fulham prediction→All predictionsEvery Premier League match, called by the modelWin probabilities, scorelines and expected goals for the full gameweek — graded in public.VIEW ALL →
More GW30 predictions