Manchester City v Crystal Palace
Who will win Manchester City vs Crystal Palace?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MCI goals down, CRY goals across
| MCI ↓ | CRY 0 | CRY 1 | CRY 2 | CRY 3 | CRY 4 | CRY 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI 0 | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MCI 1 | 7.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 2 | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MCI 3 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MCI 4 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 5 | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 6.1%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Donnarumma
- DEF
- Rúben, Matheus N., Gvardiol, Guéhi
- MID
- Ndiaye, Anderson, Enzo, Doku, Cherki
- FWD
- Haaland
- Semenyo — Knee injury - Unknown return date
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- Benitez
- DEF
- Mitchell, Richards, Canvot, Khalaili, Disasi
- MID
- Wharton, Kamada, Yeremy, McNeil
- FWD
- Strand Larsen
- Mateta — Suspended until 2 Dec
- Sarr — Groin injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Tomiyasu — Calf injury - Expected back 8 Nov
- Chadi Riad — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Uche — has returned to Getafe CF
- Strand Larsen 75% — Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing
- Timber 75% — Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.