Who will win Brighton vs Ipswich Town?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BHA goals down, IPS goals across
| BHA ↓ | IPS 0 | IPS 1 | IPS 2 | IPS 3 | IPS 4 | IPS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHA 0 | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BHA 1 | 5.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BHA 2 | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BHA 3 | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BHA 4 | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BHA 5 | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 6.5%.
Brighton v Ipswich Town
Onside's model gives Brighton a 71% chance of beating Ipswich Town in Gameweek 16, with 17% on the draw and 12% on an away win. The score prediction is Brighton 2–0 Ipswich Town, from expected goals of 2.82 to 0.94. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 60 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).