Who will win Manchester City vs Hull City?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
MCI goals down, HUL goals across
| MCI ↓ | HUL 0 | HUL 1 | HUL 2 | HUL 3 | HUL 4 | HUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCI 0 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 1 | 8.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 2 | 11.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| MCI 3 | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 4 | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MCI 5 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (2–0); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 4.3%.
Manchester City v Hull City
Onside's model gives Manchester City a 68% chance of beating Hull City in Gameweek 16, with 20% on the draw and 12% on an away win. The score prediction is Manchester City 2–0 Hull City, from expected goals of 2.53 to 0.77. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 60 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).