Everton v Liverpool
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
EVE goals down, LIV goals across
| EVE ↓ | LIV 0 | LIV 1 | LIV 2 | LIV 3 | LIV 4 | LIV 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVE 0 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| EVE 1 | 9.2% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| EVE 2 | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| EVE 3 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| EVE 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVE 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.2%.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 90 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Predicted line-ups & team news
Each XI is picked from who started the club's last five matches, in its usual shape. Flags are FPL's, moved ahead of FPL where a newer club press conference or the Premier League injury list says so. Clubs name the real XI an hour before kick-off.
- GK
- Pickford
- DEF
- Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, O'Brien
- MID
- Dewsbury-Hall, Garner, Armstrong, Röhl, George
- FWD
- Barry
- Branthwaite 75% — Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Nothing from the press room yet — pre-match press conferences usually land Thursday or Friday.
- GK
- A.Becker
- DEF
- Virgil, Jacquet, Kerkez, Araujo
- MID
- Wirtz, Mac Allister, Barcola, Gakpo, Munoz
- FWD
- Isak
- Frimpong — Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ekitiké — Achilles injury - Unknown return date
- Jaros — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Bradley — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Leoni — Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Gravenberch 75% — Foot injury - 75% chance of playing
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates in the prediction league.