Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
FUL goals down, BOU goals across
| FUL ↓ | BOU 0 | BOU 1 | BOU 2 | BOU 3 | BOU 4 | BOU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL 0 | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| FUL 1 | 8.0% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| FUL 2 | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| FUL 3 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| FUL 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| FUL 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Fulham v Bournemouth
Onside's model gives Fulham a 39% chance of beating Bournemouth in Gameweek 12, with 29% on the draw and 32% on an away win. The score prediction is Fulham 1–1 Bournemouth, from expected goals of 1.28 to 1.32. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).