Who will win Bournemouth vs Fulham?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
BOU goals down, FUL goals across
| BOU ↓ | FUL 0 | FUL 1 | FUL 2 | FUL 3 | FUL 4 | FUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOU 0 | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| BOU 1 | 9.8% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| BOU 2 | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| BOU 3 | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| BOU 4 | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| BOU 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.6%.
Bournemouth v Fulham
Onside's model gives Bournemouth a 43% chance of beating Fulham in Gameweek 23, with 29% on the draw and 28% on an away win. The score prediction is Bournemouth 1–0 Fulham, from expected goals of 1.58 to 1.07. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).