Who will win Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?
— Onside (onsidearena.com), predictions graded in public.
SUN goals down, TOT goals across
| SUN ↓ | TOT 0 | TOT 1 | TOT 2 | TOT 3 | TOT 4 | TOT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUN 0 | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| SUN 1 | 8.7% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| SUN 2 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| SUN 3 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| SUN 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SUN 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The engine’s scoreline probabilities — the joint chance of each exact score from the same expected-goals model behind the win call above. The outlined cell is the single most probable score (1–1); scores with either side on 6+ goals sum to 0.4%.
Sunderland v Tottenham Hotspur
Onside's model gives Sunderland a 47% chance of beating Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 12, with 28% on the draw and 25% on an away win. The score prediction is Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur, from expected goals of 1.31 to 1.24. Every Onside prediction is recorded before kickoff and graded in public.
Top 5 likely scorelines · model receipts
Model updated from 50 played matches. Scorelines computed from Onside's match model. The mode is the single most likely result; the full grid sums to 100%.
Ratings are fitted on three seasons of expected goals with time decay, refreshed after every match, and blended with the betting market where prices exist (pl-dc-v2). Availability of key attackers adjusts goal rates before kickoff.
Lock your score above before kick-off — every pick is graded 5/3/2/0 against the model and your mates, first results from GW1 (21 Aug).
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